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Bruno Duarte

Vasco da Gama · F · #17

CHA v VAS · Today 6:30 PM
Over only4.5
Over 4.5 Shots, typical price +1002 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

Game log against Over 4.5

Historical hit rate

0%0 of 10L10

Over 4.5 Shots cleared in 0 of his last 10 games (0 of 6 on the road).

Games counted

Game log L10@ CAPShots2Miss
ClearedMissedThe 4.5 lineUEL Europa League · unmarked: Brazil
Game-by-game results 10 games · 2026-01-29 – 2026-11-04

Past results describe this sample; they are not a forecast.

DateOpponentShotsWorkloadAt 4.5
2026-11-04@ CAP2—Miss
2026-10-29vs FLA0—Miss
2026-10-24vs COR3—Miss
2026-10-17@ SAO1—Miss
2026-10-07@ BOT3—Miss
2026-09-19vs CFC3—Miss
2026-09-12@ GRE1—Miss
2026-09-05@ FLU0—Miss
2026-02-19@ LILL0—Miss
2026-01-29vs CEL2—Miss

L10 · Over 4.5

Historical results

Average
1.5
−3 vs line
Median
1.5
−3 vs line
Past hit rate
0%
0 of 10

Price and estimates

Break-even chance
50%
at +100
Market estimate
—
no Under posted
What do these numbers mean?
Past hit rate
How often this line cleared in the games you selected. It describes those games, not the chance of the next one.
Break-even chance
The chance needed to break even at the displayed price over time.
Market estimate
The sportsbooks' estimated chance with their margin removed. It needs prices on both sides.

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10
Every line posted now: the typical price of the Over and how many sportsbooks price it. No Under is posted.
LineOverL10
−20002 books5/10
−5502 books3/10
−2102 books0/10
+1002 books0/10
+2102 books0/10
+8501 book0/10
+18001 book0/10

Over only: sportsbooks post this as a yes bet (“5+ shots”), with no Under to take.

Compare 2 sportsbooks at 4.5
Each sportsbook's price for the Over 4.5 Shots, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · readOver 4.5
DraftKings6 min ago+185Best
FanDuel6 min ago+100

Prices as of 6:09 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

Line movementMain line 4.5

2.5 → 4.5 since first seen

Bruno Duarte's full game log and splits