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Sjoeke Nüsken

Chelsea · M · #6

CHE v MNC · Tomorrow 8:30 AM
Over only2.5
Over 2.5 Shots, typical price −1551 sportsbookUpdated

Game log against Over 2.5

Historical hit rate

40%4 of 10L10

Over 2.5 Shots cleared in 4 of his last 10 games (1 of 6 at home).

Games counted

Game log L10vs EVEShots2Miss
ClearedMissedThe 2.5 line
Game-by-game results 10 games · 2026-05-16 – 2026-11-07

Past results describe this sample; they are not a forecast.

DateOpponentShotsWorkloadAt 2.5
2026-11-07vs EVE2—Miss
2026-11-01@ CHA3—Hit
2026-10-25@ CRY4—Hit
2026-10-18vs TOT1—Miss
2026-10-04@ WHU1—Miss
2026-09-27vs ARS0—Miss
2026-09-19vs BIR4—Hit
2026-09-13@ MAN6—Hit
2026-09-05vs AVL1—Miss
2026-05-16vs MAN0—Miss

L10 · Over 2.5

Historical results

Average
2.2
−0.3 vs line
Median
1.5
−1 vs line
Past hit rate
40%
4 of 10

Price and estimates

Break-even chance
61%
at −155
Market estimate
—
no Under posted
What do these numbers mean?
Past hit rate
How often this line cleared in the games you selected. It describes those games, not the chance of the next one.
Break-even chance
The chance needed to break even at the displayed price over time.
Market estimate
The sportsbooks' estimated chance with their margin removed. It needs prices on both sides.

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10
Every line posted now: the typical price of the Over and how many sportsbooks price it. No Under is posted.
LineOverL10
−25001 book8/10
−4501 book5/10
−1551 book4/10
+1601 book3/10
+3801 book1/10
+8501 book1/10

Over only: sportsbooks post this as a yes bet (“3+ shots”), with no Under to take.

Compare 1 sportsbook at 2.5
Each sportsbook's price for the Over 2.5 Shots, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · readOver 2.5
FanDuel7 min ago−155Best

Prices as of 11:01 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

Line movementMain line 2.5

Over: No move since first seen

Sjoeke Nüsken's full game log and splits