Ellie Carpenter
CHE v MNC · Tomorrow 8:30 AM
Over only1.5
Over 1.5 Shots, typical price +1501 sportsbookUpdated
Game log against Over 1.5
Historical hit rate
60%6 of 10L10
Over 1.5 Shots cleared in 6 of his last 10 games (3 of 6 at home).
Games counted
Game log L10vs EVEShots1Miss
Game-by-game results 10 games · 2026-05-16 – 2026-11-07
Past results describe this sample; they are not a forecast.
| Date | Opponent | Shots | Workload | At 1.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-07 | vs EVE | 1 | — | Miss |
| 2026-11-01 | @ CHA | 2 | — | Hit |
| 2026-10-25 | @ CRY | 1 | — | Miss |
| 2026-10-18 | vs TOT | 2 | — | Hit |
| 2026-10-04 | @ WHU | 3 | — | Hit |
| 2026-09-27 | vs ARS | 0 | — | Miss |
| 2026-09-19 | vs BIR | 5 | — | Hit |
| 2026-09-13 | @ MAN | 3 | — | Hit |
| 2026-09-05 | vs AVL | 3 | — | Hit |
| 2026-05-16 | vs MAN | 0 | — | Miss |
L10 · Over 1.5
Historical results
- Average
- 2
- +0.5 vs line
- Median
- 2
- +0.5 vs line
- Past hit rate
- 60%
- 6 of 10
Price and estimates
- Break-even chance
- 40%
- at +150
- Market estimate
- —
- no Under posted
What do these numbers mean?
- Past hit rate
- How often this line cleared in the games you selected. It describes those games, not the chance of the next one.
- Break-even chance
- The chance needed to break even at the displayed price over time.
- Market estimate
- The sportsbooks' estimated chance with their margin removed. It needs prices on both sides.
Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet.
Lines posted now
Over hits, L10| Line | Over | L10 |
|---|---|---|
| −3101 book | 8/10 | |
| +1501 book | 6/10 | |
| +5501 book | 4/10 | |
| +19001 book | 1/10 |
Over only: sportsbooks post this as a yes bet (“2+ shots”), with no Under to take.
Compare 1 sportsbook at 1.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 1.5 |
|---|---|
| FanDuel7 min ago | +150Best |
Prices as of 11:01 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
Line movementMain line 1.5
Over: No move since first seen