Thiago Thomas Nuss

OFI Crete · F · #18

HBE v OFI · Today 3:00 PM

Over only2.5

Over 2.5 Shots, typical price −1183 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

20%2 of 10L10

Over 2.5 Shots cleared in 2 of his last 10 games (2 of 5 on the road).

at LEV (Greece), 2026-05-13: 0, missed
vs KIF (Greece), 2026-09-06: 0, missed
vs TSG (Europa League), 2026-09-17: 1, missed
vs AST (Greece), 2026-09-20: 0, missed
at AEK (Greece), 2026-10-10: 0, missed
at REN (Europa League), 2026-10-15: 0, missed
at KAL (Greece), 2026-10-18: 3, cleared
vs B04 (Europa League), 2026-10-22: 1, missed
vs PAOK (Greece), 2026-10-25: 2, missed
at PAN (Greece), 2026-11-01: 4, cleared

ClearedMissedThe 2.5 lineGRE Greece · unmarked: Europa League

L10 · Over 2.5

Average: 1.1; −1.4 vs line
Median: 0.5; −2 vs line
Hit rate: 20%; 2 of 10
Price implies: 54%; at −118
Books’ fair: —; no Under posted

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price of the Over and how many sportsbooks price it. No Under is posted.
Line	Over	L10
	−3603 books	3/10
	−1183 books	2/10
	+1653 books	1/10

Over only: sportsbooks post this as a yes bet (“3+ shots”), with no Under to take.

Compare 3 sportsbooks at 2.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over 2.5 Shots, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 2.5
Bally Bet9 min ago	−118Best
betPARX9 min ago	−118Best
BetRivers9 min ago	−118Best

Prices as of 12:20 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

2.5

Over: −125 → −118 since first seen

Thiago Thomas Nuss's full game log and splits