Guilherme Smith

Union St.-Gilloise · M · #11

CEL v USG · Live

Over only2.5

Over 2.5 Shots, typical price +1204 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

30%3 of 10L10

Over 2.5 Shots cleared in 3 of his last 10 games (0 of 5 on the road).

at STVV (Belgium), 2026-09-02: 1, missed
at CHA (Belgium), 2026-09-05: 2, missed
vs LOM (Belgium), 2026-09-12: 4, cleared
at PLZ (Europa League), 2026-09-17: 1, missed
at ANT (Belgium), 2026-09-20: 2, missed
vs OHL (Belgium), 2026-10-11: 1, missed
vs RSO (Europa League), 2026-10-15: 3, cleared
vs HBE (Europa League), 2026-10-22: 5, cleared
vs CBK (Belgium), 2026-10-25: 2, missed
at WAA (Belgium), 2026-10-31: 2, missed

ClearedMissedThe 2.5 lineBEL Belgium · unmarked: Europa League

L10 · Over 2.5

Average: 2.3; −0.2 vs line
Median: 2; −0.5 vs line
Hit rate: 30%; 3 of 10
Price implies: 45%; at +120
Books’ fair: —; no Under posted

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price of the Over and how many sportsbooks price it. No Under is posted.
Line	Over	L10
	−33354 books	10/10
	−2354 books	7/10
	+1204 books	3/10
	+2504 books	2/10
	+5254 books	1/10

Over only: sportsbooks post this as a yes bet (“3+ shots”), with no Under to take.

Compare 4 sportsbooks at 2.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over 2.5 Shots, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 2.5
FanDuel12 hr ago	+170Best
Bally Bet12 hr ago	+120
betPARX12 hr ago	+120
BetRivers12 hr ago	+120

Prices as of 3:10 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

2.5

+125 → +120 since first seen

Guilherme Smith's full game log and splits

This page last updated 3:10 PM ET.