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Nico Paz

Como · M · #10

COMO v CAG · Sat, Nov 21 9:00 AM
Over only1.5
Over 1.5 Shots on Target, typical price −1772 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

Game log against Over 1.5

Historical hit rate

50%5 of 10L10

Over 1.5 Shots on Target cleared in 5 of his last 10 games (2 of 4 at home).

Games counted

Game log L10@ INTShots on Target0Miss
ClearedMissedThe 1.5 lineUCL Champions League · unmarked: Serie A
Game-by-game results 10 games · 2026-09-14 – 2026-11-08

Past results describe this sample; they are not a forecast.

DateOpponentShots on TargetWorkloadAt 1.5
2026-11-08@ INT0—Miss
2026-11-04@ RCL2—Hit
2026-11-01vs VEN0—Miss
2026-10-27@ TOR1—Miss
2026-10-21vs MAN4—Hit
2026-10-18@ FIO2—Hit
2026-10-14@ FEY0—Miss
2026-10-11vs ROMA4—Hit
2026-09-20@ FRO2—Hit
2026-09-14vs PAR0—Miss

L10 · Over 1.5

Historical results

Average
1.5
±0 vs line
Median
1.5
±0 vs line
Past hit rate
50%
5 of 10

Price and estimates

Break-even chance
64%
at −177
Market estimate
—
no Under posted
What do these numbers mean?
Past hit rate
How often this line cleared in the games you selected. It describes those games, not the chance of the next one.
Break-even chance
The chance needed to break even at the displayed price over time.
Market estimate
The sportsbooks' estimated chance with their margin removed. It needs prices on both sides.

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10
Every line posted now: the typical price of the Over and how many sportsbooks price it. No Under is posted.
LineOverL10
−9102 books6/10
−1772 books5/10

Over only: sportsbooks post this as a yes bet (“2+ shots on target”), with no Under to take.

Compare 2 sportsbooks at 1.5
Each sportsbook's price for the Over 1.5 Shots on Target, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · readOver 1.5
Bally Bet6 min ago−177Best
BetRivers6 min ago−177Best

Prices as of 12:57 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

Line movementMain line 1.5

No opening line kept for this market yet.

Nico Paz's full game log and splits