Kristian Thorstvedt

Sassuolo · M · #42

ROMA v SAS · Sat, Nov 7 2:45 PM

Over 0.5 Shots on Target, typical price +1352 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

50%5 of 10L10

Over 0.5 Shots on Target cleared in 5 of his last 10 games (4 of 5 on the road).

vs LEC (Serie A), 2026-05-17: 0, missed
at PAR (Serie A), 2026-05-24: 0, missed
at ATA (Serie A), 2026-08-23: 1, cleared
vs TOR (Serie A), 2026-08-29: 0, missed
at BOL (Serie A), 2026-09-06: 1, cleared
vs JUV (Serie A), 2026-09-13: 0, missed
at MON (Serie A), 2026-09-18: 1, cleared
vs MIL (Serie A), 2026-10-11: 2, cleared
at FRO (Serie A), 2026-10-16: 1, cleared
vs LAZ (Serie A), 2026-10-27: 0, missed

ClearedMissedThe 0.5 line

L10 · Over 0.5

Average: 0.6; +0.1 vs line
Median: 0.5; ±0 vs line
Hit rate: 50%; 5 of 10
Price implies: 43%; at +135
Books’ fair: —; needs both sides

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Line	Over	Under	L10
	+1352 books	pick'em only	5/10
	+8002 books	—	1/10

Compare 2 sportsbooks and 1 pick'em app at 0.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 0.5 Shots on Target, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 0.5	Under 0.5
DraftKings5 min ago	+135Best	—
FanDuel5 min ago	+135Best	—
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 6:17 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

0.5

Over: +180 → +135 since first seen

Kristian Thorstvedt's full game log and splits