Kristian Thorstvedt

Sassuolo · M · #42

ROMA v SAS · Sat, Nov 7 2:45 PM

Over 1.5 Shots, typical price +1252 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

40%4 of 10L10

Over 1.5 Shots cleared in 4 of his last 10 games (3 of 5 on the road).

vs LEC (Serie A), 2026-05-17: 1, missed
at PAR (Serie A), 2026-05-24: 0, missed
at ATA (Serie A), 2026-08-23: 2, cleared
vs TOR (Serie A), 2026-08-29: 1, missed
at BOL (Serie A), 2026-09-06: 1, missed
vs JUV (Serie A), 2026-09-13: 0, missed
at MON (Serie A), 2026-09-18: 3, cleared
vs MIL (Serie A), 2026-10-11: 2, cleared
at FRO (Serie A), 2026-10-16: 2, cleared
vs LAZ (Serie A), 2026-10-27: 1, missed

ClearedMissedThe 1.5 line

L10 · Over 1.5

Average: 1.3; −0.2 vs line
Median: 1; −0.5 vs line
Hit rate: 40%; 4 of 10
Price implies: 44%; at +125
Books’ fair: —; needs both sides

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Line	Over	Under	L10
	−3602 books	—	8/10
	+1252 books	pick'em only	4/10
	+4302 books	—	1/10
	+14002 books	—	0/10

Compare 2 sportsbooks and 1 pick'em app at 1.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 1.5 Shots, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 1.5	Under 1.5
DraftKings7 min ago	+135Best	—
FanDuel7 min ago	+125	—
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 8:19 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

1.5

Over: +150 → +125 since first seen

Kristian Thorstvedt's full game log and splits