Daniel Birligea

Frosinone · F · #11

CAG v FRO · Sat, Nov 7 9:00 AM

Over only1.5

Over 1.5 Shots on Target, typical price +1654 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

30%3 of 10L10

Over 1.5 Shots on Target cleared in 3 of his last 10 games (1 of 4 on the road).

vs YB (Europa League), 2025-10-02: 0, missed
vs BOL (Europa League), 2025-10-23: 1, missed
at FCB (Europa League), 2025-11-06: 2, cleared
at RSB (Europa League), 2025-11-27: 0, missed
at DZG (Europa League), 2026-01-22: 1, missed
at FIO (Serie A), 2026-08-29: 0, missed
vs VEN (Serie A), 2026-09-06: 0, missed
vs SAS (Serie A), 2026-10-16: 0, missed
vs LEC (Serie A), 2026-10-29: 2, cleared
vs TOR (Serie A), 2026-11-01: 2, cleared

ClearedMissedThe 1.5 lineUEL Europa League · unmarked: Serie A

L10 · Over 1.5

Average: 0.8; −0.7 vs line
Median: 0.5; −1 vs line
Hit rate: 30%; 3 of 10
Price implies: 38%; at +165
Books’ fair: —; no Under posted

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price of the Over and how many sportsbooks price it. No Under is posted.
Line	Over	L10
	−2504 books	5/10
	+1654 books	3/10
	+4754 books	0/10
	+16001 book	0/10

Over only: sportsbooks post this as a yes bet (“2+ shots on target”), with no Under to take.

Compare 4 sportsbooks at 1.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over 1.5 Shots on Target, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 1.5
Bally Bet6 min ago	+165Best
betPARX6 min ago	+165Best
BetRivers6 min ago	+165Best
FanDuel6 min ago	+140

Prices as of 5:59 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

1.5

Over: +180 → +165 since first seen

Daniel Birligea's full game log and splits