Ian Luccas

Alverca · M · #25

ALV v CPAC · Sat, Nov 7 1:00 PM

Over only0.5

Over 0.5 Goals, typical price +3103 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

13%1 of 8L8

Over 0.5 Goals cleared in 1 of his last 8 games (1 of 4 at home).

at FCP (Primeira Liga), 2026-08-09: 0, missed
vs EST (Primeira Liga), 2026-08-15: 1, cleared
at SCP (Primeira Liga), 2026-08-22: 0, missed
vs CDSC (Primeira Liga), 2026-08-29: 0, missed
vs SCB (Primeira Liga), 2026-09-05: 0, missed
at CDN (Primeira Liga), 2026-09-12: 0, missed
vs FCA (Primeira Liga), 2026-10-24: 0, missed
at SLB (Primeira Liga), 2026-11-02: 0, missed

ClearedMissedThe 0.5 line

L8 · Over 0.5

Average: 0.1; −0.4 vs line
Median: 0; −0.5 vs line
Hit rate: 13%; 1 of 8
Price implies: 24%; at +310
Books’ fair: —; no Under posted

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L8

Every line posted now: the typical price of the Over and how many sportsbooks price it. No Under is posted.
Line	Over	L8
	+3103 books	1/8

Over only: sportsbooks post this as a yes bet (“to score”), with no Under to take.

Compare 3 sportsbooks at 0.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over 0.5 Goals, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 0.5
Bally Bet8 min ago	+310Best
betPARX8 min ago	+310Best
BetRivers8 min ago	+310Best

Prices as of 6:44 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

0.5

Over: No move since first seen

Ian Luccas's full game log and splits