Zack Bolduc

Montreal Canadiens · RW · #76

MTL @ TOR · Today 7:00 PM

Over Under0.5

Under 0.5 Points, typical price −1656 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

70%7 of 10L10

Under 0.5 Points hit in 7 of his last 10 games (3 of 5 on the road).

at WSH, 2026-10-14: 1, missed, 12.6 min
vs BUF, 2026-10-17: 1, missed, 14.8 min
vs SJ, 2026-10-20: 0, hit, 14.9 min
at CHI, 2026-10-23: 0, hit, 13.1 min
at WPG, 2026-10-25: 0, hit, 11.7 min
at STL, 2026-10-27: 1, missed, 12.3 min
at DAL, 2026-10-29: 0, hit, 15.3 min
vs PIT, 2026-10-31: 0, hit, 16.6 min
vs WPG, 2026-11-03: 0, hit, 13 min
vs UTAH, 2026-11-05: 0, hit, 15.8 min

Under hitMissedThe 0.5 linehis 2026–27 time on ice

Our model's range for today's game: a typical game lands 0–1 points.

What's different today

Under 0.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

Teammate out
Ivan Demidov: Injured Reserve (ankle)
Under 0.5 without him: 9 of 14; with him: 70 of 99 (113 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Mike Matheson: Out (lower body)
Under 0.5 without him: 8 of 12; with him: 71 of 101 (113 games as teammates)
Opposing goalie
Sergei Bobrovsky (Expected)
Saves: 267 of 300 (.890) over his last 10 games · 7 of TOR's last 10 starts
Defense vs forwards
TOR allow 6.29 points a game to forwards: 19th most of 32
17 games · last 10 games: 6.30, 15th most

Splits

Under 0.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against TOR in his last 10; Under 0.5 hit in 4 of 6 against TOR on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Under 0.5 · L10

Nick SuzukiC
Lane HutsonD
Cole CaufieldRW
Ivan DemidovRWInjured Reserve
Mike MathesonDOut

The three skaters with the most points a game among those playing 12+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Canadiens count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs TOR

Points: 1 in 11.1 min, Sep 29 (away)

Under 0.5 hit in 4 of 6 games against TOR on record

L10 · Under 0.5

Average: 0.3; −0.2 vs line
Median: 0; −0.5 vs line
Hit rate: 70%; 7 of 10
Price implies: 62%; at −165
Books’ fair: 58%; margin removed
Our chance: 62%; estimate · fair −163

Research, not a pick. At −165 the price is worse than our fair −163, so it isn't worth it.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Under hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
+1236 books	−1651 book	7/10
+6006 books	—	10/10
+20001 book	—	10/10

Compare 6 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 0.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 0.5 Points, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 0.5	Under 0.5
DraftKings7 min ago	+120	−165Best
Bally Bet7 min ago	+123	—
betPARX7 min ago	+123	—
BetRivers5 min ago	+123	—
Bovada11 min ago	+125Best	—
FanDuel6 min ago	+118	—
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 9:50 AM ET. The page leads with the Under's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

0.5

Under isn't priced at 0.5 right now.

Zack Bolduc's full game log and splits