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Zack Bolduc
WPG @ MTL · Today 7:00 PM
Game log against Under 0.5
60%6 of 10L10
Under 0.5 Points hit in 6 of his last 10 games (3 of 5 at home).
Our model's range for tonight: a typical night lands 0–1 points.
Count only
Under 0.5 · L10Matchup · 15 games
WPG allow 7.47 points a game to forwards: 4th most of 32
Rest
2 days off since Oct 31 vs PIT
Last vs WPG
Points: 0 in 11.7 min, Oct 25 (away)
Under 0.5 hit in 12 of 14 games against WPG on record
L10 · Under 0.5
- Average
- 0.4
- −0.1 vs line
- Median
- 0
- −0.5 vs line
- Hit rate
- 60%
- 6 of 10
- Price implies
- 60%
- at −150
- Books’ fair
- 56%
- margin removed
- Our chance
- 58%
- estimate · fair −138
Research, not a pick. At −150 the price is worse than our fair −138, so it isn't worth it.
Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge: props on our numbers have lost money since Oct 7.
Lines posted now
Under hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| +1101 book | −1501 book | 6/10 | |
| +6001 book | — | 10/10 |
Compare 1 sportsbook and 2 pick'em apps at 0.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings8 min ago | +110Best | −150Best |
| Sleeperpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
| Underdogpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 2:04 AM ET. The page leads with the Under's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
0.5Under No move since first seen