Zach Benson

Buffalo Sabres · LW · #6

CBJ @ BUF · Today 7:00 PM

Over Under0.5

Over 0.5 Points, typical price −1542 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

90%9 of 10L10

Over 0.5 Points cleared in 9 of his last 10 games (2 of 3 at home).

vs FLA, 2026-10-12: 1, cleared, 19.7 min
at MTL, 2026-10-13: 1, cleared, 19.6 min
at TOR, 2026-10-15: 2, cleared, 21.3 min
at MTL, 2026-10-17: 1, cleared, 21.3 min
vs PHI, 2026-10-21: 0, missed, 21.4 min
at WSH, 2026-10-24: 1, cleared, 18.5 min
at SJ, 2026-10-27: 1, cleared, 17.9 min
at ANA, 2026-10-29: 3, cleared, 19.5 min
at LA, 2026-10-31: 2, cleared, 23.3 min
vs OTT, 2026-11-04: 1, cleared, 20.3 min

ClearedMissedThe 0.5 linehis 2026–27 time on ice

Our model's range for today's game: a typical game lands 0–2 points.

What's different today

Over 0.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

TodayOpposing goalie
Cam Talbot (Expected); he started the day before too
Saves: 206 of 232 (.888) over his last 10 games · 6 of CBJ's last 10 starts
Teammate out
Konsta Helenius: Out (upper body)
Over 0.5 without him: 21 of 37; with him: 12 of 22 (59 games as teammates)
Defense vs forwards
CBJ allow 6.21 points a game to forwards: 19th most of 32
14 games · last 10 games: 6.00, 21st most
Time on ice
Last 5: 19.9 min · 2026–27: 20 (15 games)
Power play: 2.9 min last 5 · 3.5 2026–27

Splits

Over 0.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against CBJ in his last 10; Over 0.5 cleared in 4 of 8 against CBJ on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 0.5 · L10

Tage ThompsonC
Rasmus DahlinD
Jack QuinnRW
Konsta HeleniusCOut

The three skaters with the most points a game among those playing 12+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Sabres count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs CBJ

Points: 1 in 18.6 min, Oct 1 (away)

Over 0.5 hit in 4 of 8 games against CBJ on record

L10 · Over 0.5

Average: 1.3; +0.8 vs line
Median: 1; +0.5 vs line
Hit rate: 90%; 9 of 10
Price implies: 61%; at −154
Books’ fair: 56%; margin removed
Our chance: 61%; estimate · fair −157

Research, not a pick. At −150 (the best of 2 sportsbooks) the price beats our fair −157, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−1542 books	+1101 book	9/10
+3102 books	—	3/10
+12002 books	—	1/10

Compare 2 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 0.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 0.5 Points, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 0.5	Under 0.5
DraftKings9 min ago	−150Best	+110Best
FanDuel4 min ago	−154	—
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 4:35 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

0.5

−156 → −154 since first seen

Zach Benson's full game log and splits