Wyatt Johnston

Dallas Stars · C · #53

SJ @ DAL · Today 8:00 PM

Over Under2.5

Over 2.5 Shots on Goal, typical price −1287 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

43%6 of 14L20 · Without Duchene

Over 2.5 Shots on Goal cleared in 6 of 14 games without Matt Duchene (his last 20 games).

vs MIN, 2026-04-18: 4, cleared, 21.7 min (not counted)
vs MIN, 2026-04-20: 6, cleared, 19.4 min (not counted)
at MIN, 2026-04-22: 4, cleared, 30.2 min (not counted)
at MIN, 2026-04-25: 3, cleared, 24.5 min (not counted)
vs MIN, 2026-04-28: 0, missed, 23.8 min (not counted)
at MIN, 2026-04-30: 3, cleared, 23.4 min (not counted)
vs STL, 2026-10-02: 4, cleared, 21.8 min
at NSH, 2026-10-03: 2, missed, 22.8 min
vs SJ, 2026-10-05: 3, cleared, 16.8 min
at BUF, 2026-10-08: 1, missed, 16.7 min
at PIT, 2026-10-10: 1, missed, 21.3 min
at CHI, 2026-10-17: 5, cleared, 20.4 min
vs BOS, 2026-10-20: 4, cleared, 20.7 min
vs WPG, 2026-10-22: 4, cleared, 19.9 min
vs NYI, 2026-10-25: 2, missed, 20.3 min
vs NJ, 2026-10-27: 1, missed, 20.7 min
vs MTL, 2026-10-29: 2, missed, 21.7 min
vs CBJ, 2026-10-31: 3, cleared, 19.8 min
at WSH, 2026-11-03: 2, missed, 16.2 min
at CBJ, 2026-11-05: 2, missed, 19.3 min

ClearedMissedThe 2.5 linehis 2026–27 time on ice

What's different today

Over 2.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

TodayTeammate out
Matt Duchene: Injured Reserve (abdomen)
Over 2.5 without him: 19 of 39; with him: 35 of 74 (113 games as teammates)
TodayOpposing goalie
Alex Nedeljkovic (Expected)
Saves: 270 of 299 (.903) over his last 10 games · 3 of SJ's last 10 starts · Yaroslav Askarov started 7
TodayDefense vs forwards
SJ allow 22.1 shots on goal a game to forwards: 3rd most of 32
18 games · last 10 games: 23.8, the most
Teammate out
Miro Heiskanen: Out (upper body)
Over 2.5 without him: 2 of 6; with him: 51 of 104 (110 games as teammates)

Splits

Over 2.5 · L20 · counts, not in order

Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 2.5 · L20

Mikko RantanenRW
Jason RobertsonLW
Matt DucheneCInjured Reserve
Miro HeiskanenDOut
Oskar BackCInjured Reserve

The three skaters with the most points a game among those playing 12+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Stars count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs SJ

Shots on Goal: 3 in 16.8 min, Oct 5 (home)

Over 2.5 hit in 5 of 7 games against SJ on record

L20 · Without Duchene · Over 2.5

Average: 2.6; +0.1 vs line
Median: 2; −0.5 vs line
Hit rate: 43%; 6 of 14
Price implies: 56%; at −128
Books’ fair: 53%; margin removed
Time on ice: 19.9; 14 games · 20.4 in 2025–26

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 2.5 53%.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L20 · Without Duchene

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L20
−20001 book	—	14/14
−4003 books	—	11/14
−1287 books	+1005 books	6/14
+1753 books	—	4/14
+3753 books	—	1/14
+7501 book	—	0/14
+16001 book	—	0/14

Compare 7 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 2.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 2.5 Shots on Goal, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 2.5	Under 2.5
Bally Bet3 min ago	−125Best	−112
betPARX4 min ago	−125Best	−112
BetRivers4 min ago	−125Best	—
Bovada2 min ago	−128	—
Pinnacle3 min ago	−130	+100
DraftKings3 min ago	−140	+105
FanDuel2 min ago	−144	+110Best
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 11:24 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

2.5

Over: No move since first seen

Wyatt Johnston's full game log and splits