Wyatt Johnston

Dallas Stars · C · #53

DAL @ WSH · Today 7:00 PM

Over Under2.5

Over 2.5 Shots on Goal, typical price +1046 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

What's different tonight

Over 2.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

TonightTeammate out
Matt Duchene: Injured Reserve (abdomen)
Over 2.5 without him: 19 of 37; with him: 35 of 75 (112 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Oskar Back: Injured Reserve (finger)
Over 2.5 without him: 13 of 23; with him: 41 of 89 (112 games as teammates)
Opposing goalie
Logan Thompson (Confirmed)
Saves: 253 of 279 (.907) over his last 10 games · 7 of WSH's last 10 starts
Defense vs forwards
WSH allow 20.8 shots on goal a game to forwards: 9th most of 32
13 games · last 10 games: 20.3, 14th most

50%6 of 12L20 · Without Duchene

Over 2.5 Shots on Goal cleared in 6 of 12 games without Matt Duchene (his last 20 games).

at TOR, 2026-04-13: 3, cleared, 18.4 min (not counted)
at BUF, 2026-04-15: 0, missed, 18.2 min (not counted)
vs MIN, 2026-04-18: 4, cleared, 21.7 min (not counted)
vs MIN, 2026-04-20: 6, cleared, 19.4 min (not counted)
at MIN, 2026-04-22: 4, cleared, 30.2 min (not counted)
at MIN, 2026-04-25: 3, cleared, 24.5 min (not counted)
vs MIN, 2026-04-28: 0, missed, 23.8 min (not counted)
at MIN, 2026-04-30: 3, cleared, 23.4 min (not counted)
vs STL, 2026-10-02: 4, cleared, 21.8 min
at NSH, 2026-10-03: 2, missed, 22.8 min
vs SJ, 2026-10-05: 3, cleared, 16.8 min
at BUF, 2026-10-08: 1, missed, 16.7 min
at PIT, 2026-10-10: 1, missed, 21.3 min
at CHI, 2026-10-17: 5, cleared, 20.4 min
vs BOS, 2026-10-20: 4, cleared, 20.7 min
vs WPG, 2026-10-22: 4, cleared, 19.9 min
vs NYI, 2026-10-25: 2, missed, 20.3 min
vs NJ, 2026-10-27: 1, missed, 20.7 min
vs MTL, 2026-10-29: 2, missed, 21.7 min
vs CBJ, 2026-10-31: 3, cleared, 19.8 min

ClearedMissedThe 2.5 linehis 2026–27 time on ice

Splits

Over 2.5 · L20 · counts, not in order

No game against WSH in his last 20; Over 2.5 cleared in 3 of 4 against WSH on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 2.5 · L20

Mikko RantanenRW
Jason RobertsonLW
Matt DucheneCInjured Reserve
Oskar BackCInjured Reserve

The three skaters with the most points a game among those playing 12+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out tonight. Only games they were teammates on the Stars count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs WSH

Shots on Goal: 5 in 21.8 min, Jan 7 (away)

Over 2.5 hit in 3 of 4 games against WSH on record

L20 · Without Duchene · Over 2.5

Average: 2.7; +0.2 vs line
Median: 2.5; ±0 vs line
Hit rate: 50%; 6 of 12
Price implies: 49%; at +104
Books’ fair: 47%; margin removed
Time on ice: 20.2; 12 games · 20.4 in 2025–26

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 2.5 47%.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L20 · Without Duchene

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L20
−19812 books	—	12/12
−3342 books	—	9/12
+1046 books	−1305 books	6/12
+2222 books	—	4/12
+4812 books	—	1/12
+9501 book	—	0/12
+20001 book	—	0/12

Compare 6 sportsbooks and 3 pick'em apps at 2.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 2.5 Shots on Goal, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 2.5	Under 2.5
Bally Bet5 min ago	+108Best	−150
betPARX3 min ago	+108Best	−150
BetRivers2 min ago	+108Best	—
FanDuel2 min ago	+100	−130
Pinnacle6 min ago	−108	−122
DraftKings15 min ago	−125	−110Best
PrizePickspick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 3:51 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

2.5

Over −107 → +104 since first seen

Wyatt Johnston's full game log and splits