Wyatt Johnston

Dallas Stars · C · #53

DAL @ CBJ · Today 7:00 PM

Over Under0.5

Over 0.5 Points, typical price −1776 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

54%7 of 13L20 · Without Duchene

Over 0.5 Points cleared in 7 of 13 games without Matt Duchene (his last 20 games).

at BUF, 2026-04-15: 0, missed, 18.2 min (not counted)
vs MIN, 2026-04-18: 1, cleared, 21.7 min (not counted)
vs MIN, 2026-04-20: 2, cleared, 19.4 min (not counted)
at MIN, 2026-04-22: 2, cleared, 30.2 min (not counted)
at MIN, 2026-04-25: 0, missed, 24.5 min (not counted)
vs MIN, 2026-04-28: 0, missed, 23.8 min (not counted)
at MIN, 2026-04-30: 1, cleared, 23.4 min (not counted)
vs STL, 2026-10-02: 0, missed, 21.8 min
at NSH, 2026-10-03: 1, cleared, 22.8 min
vs SJ, 2026-10-05: 0, missed, 16.8 min
at BUF, 2026-10-08: 3, cleared, 16.7 min
at PIT, 2026-10-10: 0, missed, 21.3 min
at CHI, 2026-10-17: 0, missed, 20.4 min
vs BOS, 2026-10-20: 0, missed, 20.7 min
vs WPG, 2026-10-22: 2, cleared, 19.9 min
vs NYI, 2026-10-25: 2, cleared, 20.3 min
vs NJ, 2026-10-27: 0, missed, 20.7 min
vs MTL, 2026-10-29: 2, cleared, 21.7 min
vs CBJ, 2026-10-31: 1, cleared, 19.8 min
at WSH, 2026-11-03: 2, cleared, 16.2 min

ClearedMissedThe 0.5 linehis 2026–27 time on ice

Our model's range for today's game: a typical game lands 0–2 points.

What's different today

Over 0.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

TodayTeammate out
Matt Duchene: Injured Reserve (abdomen)
Over 0.5 without him: 22 of 38; with him: 44 of 74 (112 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Miro Heiskanen: Out (upper body)
Over 0.5 without him: 4 of 5; with him: 61 of 104 (109 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Sam Steel: Out (personal)
Over 0.5 without him: 6 of 11; with him: 60 of 101 (112 games as teammates)
Opposing goalie
Cam Talbot (Confirmed)
Saves: 190 of 216 (.880) over his last 10 games · 5 of CBJ's last 10 starts

Splits

Over 0.5 · L20 · counts, not in order

Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 0.5 · L20

Mikko RantanenRW
Jason RobertsonLW
Matt DucheneCInjured Reserve
Miro HeiskanenDOut
Sam SteelCOut

The three skaters with the most points a game among those playing 12+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Stars count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs CBJ

Points: 1 in 19.8 min, Oct 31 (home)

Over 0.5 hit in 3 of 5 games against CBJ on record

L20 · Without Duchene · Over 0.5

Average: 1; +0.5 vs line
Median: 1; +0.5 vs line
Hit rate: 54%; 7 of 13
Price implies: 64%; at −177
Books’ fair: 59%; margin removed
Our chance: 60%; estimate · fair −147

Research, not a pick. At −170 (the best of 6 sportsbooks) the price is worse than our fair −147, so it isn't worth it.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L20 · Without Duchene

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L20
−1776 books	+1252 books	7/13
+2605 books	—	5/13
+8005 books	—	1/13

Compare 6 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 0.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 0.5 Points, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 0.5	Under 0.5
DraftKings9 min ago	−170Best	+125
Bally Bet9 min ago	−177	—
betPARX3 min ago	−177	—
BetRivers4 min ago	−177	—
Pinnacle9 min ago	−177	+132Best
FanDuel4 min ago	−180	—
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 1:54 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

0.5

−215 → −177 since first seen

Wyatt Johnston's full game log and splits