William Karlsson

Vegas Golden Knights · C · #71

VGK @ DET · Live

Over Under1.5

Over 1.5 Shots on Goal, typical price −1203 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

30%3 of 10L10

Over 1.5 Shots on Goal cleared in 3 of his last 10 games (2 of 5 on the road).

at NSH, 2026-10-13: 2, cleared, 15.4 min
vs CGY, 2026-10-15: 1, missed, 17.1 min
vs PIT, 2026-10-17: 1, missed, 13.9 min
vs TB, 2026-10-20: 3, cleared, 16 min
at STL, 2026-10-22: 1, missed, 16.6 min
at CBJ, 2026-10-24: 1, missed, 16.8 min
vs OTT, 2026-10-27: 1, missed, 20.1 min
vs NJ, 2026-10-30: 1, missed, 16.9 min
at BOS, 2026-11-02: 1, missed, 19.4 min
at PIT, 2026-11-03: 2, cleared, 18.2 min

ClearedMissedThe 1.5 linehis 2026–27 time on ice

What's different yesterday

Over 1.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

YesterdayOpposing goalie
Daniil Tarasov (Confirmed)
Saves: 210 of 227 (.925) over his last 10 games · 4 of DET's last 10 starts · John Gibson started 5
Teammate out
Parker Wotherspoon: Injured Reserve (upper body)
Over 1.5 without him: 4 of 11; with him: 3 of 6 (17 games as teammates)
Defense vs forwards
DET allow 17.6 shots on goal a game to forwards: 26th most of 32
16 games · last 10 games: 16.4, 29th most
Time on ice
Last 5: 18.3 min · 2026–27: 17.5 (17 games)
Power play: 1 min last 5 · 1.3 2026–27

Splits

Over 1.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against DET in his last 10; Over 1.5 cleared in 1 of 3 against DET on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 1.5 · L10

Mitch MarnerRW
Victor OlofssonLW
Jack EichelC
Parker WotherspoonDInjured Reserve

The three skaters with the most points a game among those playing 12+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out yesterday. Only games they were teammates on the Golden Knights count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs DET

Karlsson didn't play the Mar 4 meeting; shots on goal the last time Karlsson faced them: 3 (Nov 4, 2025)

Over 1.5 hit in 1 of 3 games against DET on record

L10 · Over 1.5

Average: 1.4; −0.1 vs line
Median: 1; −0.5 vs line
Hit rate: 30%; 3 of 10
Price implies: 55%; at −120
Books’ fair: 53%; margin removed
Time on ice: 17; 10 games · 16.2 in 2025–26

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 1.5 53%.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−5251 book	—	10/10
−1203 books	−1103 books	3/10
+2501 book	—	1/10
+6501 book	—	0/10
+18001 book	—	0/10

Compare 3 sportsbooks and 1 pick'em app at 1.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 1.5 Shots on Goal, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 1.5	Under 1.5
DraftKings6 hr ago	−120Best	−115
Pinnacle6 hr ago	−120Best	−110
Bally Bet6 hr ago	−155	+110Best
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 7:09 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

1.5

Over: −140 → −120 since first seen

William Karlsson's full game log and splits

This page last updated 7:10 PM ET.