William Karlsson

Vegas Golden Knights · C · #71

VGK @ PIT · Today 7:00 PM

Over Under0.5

Under 0.5 Points, typical price −1705 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

What's different tonight

Under 0.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

TonightRest · back-to-back
Golden Knights played last night (at BOS): a back-to-back
Teammate out
Parker Wotherspoon: Injured Reserve (upper body)
Under 0.5 without him: 5 of 10; with him: 5 of 6 (16 games as teammates)
Opposing goalie
Arturs Silovs (Confirmed)
Saves: 247 of 275 (.898) over his last 10 games · 6 of PIT's last 10 starts
Defense vs forwards
PIT allow 7.14 points a game to forwards: 8th most of 32
14 games · last 10 games: 7.60, 5th most

50%5 of 10L10

Under 0.5 Points hit in 5 of his last 10 games (3 of 5 on the road).

at MIN, 2026-10-12: 1, missed, 17.2 min
at NSH, 2026-10-13: 1, missed, 15.4 min
vs CGY, 2026-10-15: 1, missed, 17.1 min
vs PIT, 2026-10-17: 1, missed, 13.9 min
vs TB, 2026-10-20: 0, hit, 16 min
at STL, 2026-10-22: 0, hit, 16.6 min
at CBJ, 2026-10-24: 0, hit, 16.8 min
vs OTT, 2026-10-27: 1, missed, 20.1 min
vs NJ, 2026-10-30: 0, hit, 16.9 min
at BOS, 2026-11-02: 0, hit, 19.4 min

Under hitMissedThe 0.5 linehis 2026–27 time on ice

Our model's range for tonight: a typical night lands 0–1 points.

Splits

Under 0.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Under 0.5 · L10

Mitch MarnerRW
Victor OlofssonLW
Jack EichelC
Parker WotherspoonDInjured Reserve

The three skaters with the most points a game among those playing 12+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out tonight. Only games they were teammates on the Golden Knights count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs PIT

Points: 1 in 13.9 min, Oct 17 (home)

Under 0.5 hit in 1 of 2 games against PIT on record

L10 · Under 0.5

Average: 0.5; ±0 vs line
Median: 0.5; ±0 vs line
Hit rate: 50%; 5 of 10
Price implies: 63%; at −170
Books’ fair: 59%; margin removed
Our chance: 61%; estimate · fair −157

Research, not a pick. At −170 the price is worse than our fair −157, so it isn't worth it.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge: props on our numbers have lost money since Oct 7.

Lines posted now

Under hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Line	Over	Under	L10
	+1335 books	−1701 book	5/10
	+6505 books	—	10/10

Compare 5 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 0.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 0.5 Points, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 0.5	Under 0.5
DraftKings5 min ago	+125	−170Best
Bally Bet4 min ago	+135	—
betPARX1 min ago	+133	—
BetRivers1 min ago	+133	—
Bovada4 min ago	+145Best	—
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 6:37 PM ET. The page leads with the Under's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

0.5

Under isn't priced at 0.5 right now.

William Karlsson's full game log and splits