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Vincent Trocheck

Utah Mammoth · C · #16

UTAH @ MTL · Today 7:00 PM
OverUnder0.5
Under 0.5 Assists, typical price −2305 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

Game log against Under 0.5

60%6 of 10L10

Under 0.5 Assists hit in 6 of his last 10 games (2 of 5 on the road).

  1. vs TOR, 2026-10-13: 0, hit, 16.9 min
  2. at EDM, 2026-10-15: 1, missed, 13.8 min
  3. vs EDM, 2026-10-17: 0, hit, 15.6 min
  4. vs PIT, 2026-10-19: 0, hit, 15 min
  5. at SEA, 2026-10-22: 0, hit, 17.7 min
  6. vs TB, 2026-10-24: 2, missed, 21 min
  7. vs MIN, 2026-10-27: 0, hit, 15.4 min
  8. at PIT, 2026-10-29: 1, missed, 19.9 min
  9. at PHI, 2026-11-01: 1, missed, 19.1 min
  10. at TOR, 2026-11-03: 0, hit, 18.6 min
Under hitMissedThe 0.5 linehis 2026–27 time on ice

Our model's range for today's game: a typical game lands 0–1 assists.

What's different today

Under 0.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

  • Teammate out

    John Marino: Injured Reserve (upper body)

    Under 0.5 without him: 4 of 7; with him: 7 of 9 (16 games as teammates)

  • Teammate out

    Maveric Lamoureux: Injured Reserve (shoulder)

    Under 0.5 without him: 11 of 16; with him: no games (16 games as teammates)

  • Opposing goalie

    Jacob Fowler (Expected)

    Saves: 249 of 270 (.922) over his last 10 games · 7 of MTL's last 10 starts

  • Defense vs forwards

    MTL allow 3.53 assists a game to forwards: 19th most of 32

    15 games · last 10 games: 3.10, 25th most

Splits

Under 0.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against MTL in his last 10; Under 0.5 hit in 4 of 6 against MTL on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Under 0.5 · L10

  • Clayton KellerRW

  • Mikhail SergachevD

  • Nick SchmaltzC

  • John MarinoDInjured Reserve

  • Maveric LamoureuxDInjured Reserve

The three skaters with the most points a game among those playing 12+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Mammoth count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs MTL

Trocheck didn't play the Nov 26, 2025 meeting; assists the last time Trocheck faced them: 1 (Apr 2)

Under 0.5 hit in 4 of 6 games against MTL on record

L10 · Under 0.5

Average
0.5
±0 vs line
Median
0
−0.5 vs line
Hit rate
60%
6 of 10
Price implies
70%
at −230
Books’ fair
65%
margin removed
Our chance
65%
estimate · fair −190

Research, not a pick. At −224 (the best of 2 sportsbooks) the price is worse than our fair −190, so it isn't worth it.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Under hits, L10
Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
LineOverUnderL10
+1645 books−2302 books6/10
+9502 books—9/10
Compare 5 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 0.5
Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 0.5 Assists, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · readOver 0.5Under 0.5
Pinnacle10 min ago+164−224Best
DraftKings10 min ago+170−230
betPARX3 min ago+145—
BetRiversjust now+148—
FanDuel1 min ago+172Best—
Sleeperpick'em, posted nowLine posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted nowLine posted, no price

Prices as of 5:54 AM ET. The page leads with the Under's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

0.5

Under isn't priced at 0.5 right now.

Vincent Trocheck's full game log and splits