Viktor Arvidsson

Detroit Red Wings · LW · #33

VGK @ DET · Today 7:00 PM

Over Under2.5

Over 2.5 Shots on Goal, typical price −1126 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

50%3 of 6L20 · Without Larkin

Over 2.5 Shots on Goal cleared in 3 of 6 games without Dylan Larkin (his last 20 games).

at BUF, 2026-04-19: 2, missed, 12.8 min (not counted)
at BUF, 2026-04-21: 5, cleared, 13.9 min (not counted)
vs BUF, 2026-04-23: 4, cleared, 15.6 min (not counted)
vs BUF, 2026-04-26: 0, missed, 3.2 min (not counted)
vs NYR, 2026-10-02: 1, missed, 16.3 min
vs WPG, 2026-10-04: 3, cleared, 21.4 min
vs OTT, 2026-10-06: 3, cleared, 17.3 min (not counted)
vs SEA, 2026-10-09: 3, cleared, 17.6 min (not counted)
at MTL, 2026-10-10: 4, cleared, 19.4 min (not counted)
vs NJ, 2026-10-13: 1, missed, 20.2 min (not counted)
vs PHI, 2026-10-15: 2, missed, 20 min (not counted)
vs SJ, 2026-10-17: 3, cleared, 21 min (not counted)
at SEA, 2026-10-20: 3, cleared, 20.8 min (not counted)
at VAN, 2026-10-22: 2, missed, 14 min (not counted)
at CGY, 2026-10-24: 1, missed, 20.3 min (not counted)
at EDM, 2026-10-26: 4, cleared, 18.2 min (not counted)
vs CHI, 2026-10-29: 6, cleared, 17.1 min
vs STL, 2026-10-31: 2, missed, 20 min
at FLA, 2026-11-02: 5, cleared, 18.2 min
at TB, 2026-11-03: 1, missed, 20.6 min

ClearedMissedThe 2.5 linehis 2026–27 time on ice

What's different today

Over 2.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

TodayTeammate out
Dylan Larkin: Injured Reserve (suspension)
Over 2.5 without him: 3 of 6; with him: 6 of 10 (16 games as teammates)
TodayOpposing goalie
Carter Hart (Expected)
Saves: 221 of 247 (.895) over his last 10 games · 4 of VGK's last 10 starts · Adin Hill started 6
Teammate out
Simon Edvinsson: Injured Reserve (contract dispute)
Over 2.5 without him: 9 of 16; with him: no games (16 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Albert Johansson: Injured Reserve (undisclosed)
Over 2.5 without him: 3 of 5; with him: 6 of 11 (16 games as teammates)

Splits

Over 2.5 · L20 · counts, not in order

No game against VGK in his last 20; Over 2.5 cleared in 4 of 7 against VGK on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 2.5 · L20

Alex DeBrincatRW
Lucas RaymondLW
Dylan LarkinCInjured Reserve
Simon EdvinssonDInjured Reserve
Albert JohanssonDInjured Reserve

The three skaters with the most points a game among those playing 12+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Red Wings count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs VGK

Arvidsson didn't play the Mar 4 meeting; shots on goal the last time Arvidsson faced them: 5 (Jan 22)

Over 2.5 hit in 4 of 7 games against VGK on record

L20 · Without Larkin · Over 2.5

Average: 3; +0.5 vs line
Median: 2.5; ±0 vs line
Hit rate: 50%; 3 of 6
Price implies: 53%; at −112
Books’ fair: 48%; margin removed
Time on ice: 18.9; 6 games · 14.4 in 2025–26

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 2.5 48%.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L20 · Without Larkin

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L20
−22002 books	—	6/6
−3452 books	—	4/6
−1126 books	−1275 books	3/6
+2302 books	—	2/6
+5102 books	—	2/6
+13001 book	—	1/6

Compare 6 sportsbooks and 3 pick'em apps at 2.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 2.5 Shots on Goal, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 2.5	Under 2.5
DraftKings3 min ago	−105Best	−130
Pinnacle3 min ago	−105Best	−130
Bally Bet3 min ago	−112	−127
betPARX3 min ago	−112	−127
BetRivers4 min ago	−112	—
FanDuel4 min ago	−113	−115Best
PrizePickspick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 10:39 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

2.5

Over: −128 → −112 since first seen

Viktor Arvidsson's full game log and splits