Viktor Arvidsson

Detroit Red Wings · LW · #33

DET @ TB · Today 7:00 PM

Over Under2.5

Over 2.5 Shots on Goal, typical price −1103 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

What's different tonight

Over 2.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

TonightTeammate out
Dylan Larkin: Injured Reserve (suspension)
Over 2.5 without him: 3 of 5; with him: 6 of 10 (15 games as teammates)
TonightDefense vs forwards
TB allow 16.6 shots on goal a game to forwards: 31st most of 32
13 games · last 10 games: 17.0, 28th most
TonightRest · back-to-back
Red Wings played last night (at FLA): a back-to-back
Teammate out
Simon Edvinsson: Injured Reserve (contract dispute)
Over 2.5 without him: 9 of 15; with him: no games (15 games as teammates)

60%3 of 5L20 · Without Larkin

Over 2.5 Shots on Goal cleared in 3 of 5 games without Dylan Larkin (his last 20 games).

vs NJ, 2026-04-14: 1, missed, 13.3 min (not counted)
at BUF, 2026-04-19: 2, missed, 12.8 min (not counted)
at BUF, 2026-04-21: 5, cleared, 13.9 min (not counted)
vs BUF, 2026-04-23: 4, cleared, 15.6 min (not counted)
vs BUF, 2026-04-26: 0, missed, 3.2 min (not counted)
vs NYR, 2026-10-02: 1, missed, 16.3 min
vs WPG, 2026-10-04: 3, cleared, 21.4 min
vs OTT, 2026-10-06: 3, cleared, 17.3 min (not counted)
vs SEA, 2026-10-09: 3, cleared, 17.6 min (not counted)
at MTL, 2026-10-10: 4, cleared, 19.4 min (not counted)
vs NJ, 2026-10-13: 1, missed, 20.2 min (not counted)
vs PHI, 2026-10-15: 2, missed, 20 min (not counted)
vs SJ, 2026-10-17: 3, cleared, 21 min (not counted)
at SEA, 2026-10-20: 3, cleared, 20.8 min (not counted)
at VAN, 2026-10-22: 2, missed, 14 min (not counted)
at CGY, 2026-10-24: 1, missed, 20.3 min (not counted)
at EDM, 2026-10-26: 4, cleared, 18.2 min (not counted)
vs CHI, 2026-10-29: 6, cleared, 17.1 min
vs STL, 2026-10-31: 2, missed, 20 min
at FLA, 2026-11-02: 5, cleared, 18.2 min

ClearedMissedThe 2.5 linehis 2026–27 time on ice

Splits

Over 2.5 · L20 · counts, not in order

No game against TB in his last 20; Over 2.5 cleared in 4 of 6 against TB on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 2.5 · L20

Alex DeBrincatRW
Dylan LarkinCInjured Reserve
Lucas RaymondLW
Simon EdvinssonDInjured Reserve
Albert JohanssonDOut

The three skaters with the most points a game among those playing 12+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out tonight. Only games they were teammates on the Red Wings count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs TB

Arvidsson didn't play the Apr 13 meeting; shots on goal the last time Arvidsson faced them: 4 (Apr 11)

Over 2.5 hit in 4 of 6 games against TB on record

L20 · Without Larkin · Over 2.5

Average: 3.4; +0.9 vs line
Median: 3; +0.5 vs line
Hit rate: 60%; 3 of 5
Price implies: 52%; at −110
Books’ fair: 49%; margin removed
Time on ice: 18.6; 5 games · 14.4 in 2025–26

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 2.5 49%.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L20 · Without Larkin

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L20
−16001 book	—	5/5
−3201 book	—	4/5
−1103 books	−1253 books	3/5
+1951 book	—	2/5
+4251 book	—	2/5
+9501 book	—	1/5
+20001 book	—	0/5

Compare 3 sportsbooks and 1 pick'em app at 2.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 2.5 Shots on Goal, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 2.5	Under 2.5
Bally Bet1 hr ago	−109Best	−129
Pinnacle1 hr ago	−110	−125
DraftKings1 hr ago	−120	−115Best
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 7:12 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

2.5

Over +114 → −110 since first seen

Viktor Arvidsson's full game log and splits

This page last updated 7:12 PM ET.