Valeri Nichushkin

Columbus Blue Jackets · RW · #43

CBJ @ BUF · Today 7:00 PM

Over Under0.5

Under 0.5 Points, typical price −1702 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

50%5 of 10L10

Under 0.5 Points hit in 5 of his last 10 games (3 of 4 on the road).

vs FLA, 2026-10-13: 1, missed, 15.7 min
vs NYR, 2026-10-17: 0, hit, 17.7 min
at MIN, 2026-10-18: 0, hit, 16.6 min
vs TOR, 2026-10-20: 1, missed, 12.5 min
vs VGK, 2026-10-24: 1, missed, 17.2 min
at PHI, 2026-10-27: 1, missed, 16.8 min
at CAR, 2026-10-29: 0, hit, 18 min
at DAL, 2026-10-31: 0, hit, 17.4 min
vs COL, 2026-11-03: 2, missed, 16.7 min
vs DAL, 2026-11-05: 0, hit, 18.1 min

Under hitMissedThe 0.5 linehis 2026–27 time on ice

Our model's range for today's game: a typical game lands 0–2 points.

What's different today

Under 0.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

TodayRest · back-to-back
Blue Jackets played the day before (vs DAL): a back-to-back
Opposing goalie
Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen (Expected)
Saves: 227 of 260 (.873) over his last 10 games · 7 of BUF's last 10 starts
Defense vs forwards
BUF allow 7.07 points a game to forwards: 9th most of 32
15 games · last 10 games: 6.30, 15th most
Time on ice
Last 5: 17.4 min · 2026–27: 16.6 (14 games)
Power play: 0.9 min last 5 · 1.2 2026–27

Splits

Under 0.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against BUF in his last 10; Under 0.5 hit in 1 of 4 against BUF on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Under 0.5 · L10

Zach WerenskiD
Charlie CoyleC
Kent JohnsonC

The three skaters with the most points a game among those playing 12+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Blue Jackets count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs BUF

Points: 1 in 15.8 min, Oct 1 (home)

Under 0.5 hit in 1 of 4 games against BUF on record

L10 · Under 0.5

Average: 0.6; +0.1 vs line
Median: 0.5; ±0 vs line
Hit rate: 50%; 5 of 10
Price implies: 63%; at −170
Books’ fair: 59%; margin removed
Our chance: 56%; estimate · fair −128

Research, not a pick. At −170 the price is worse than our fair −128, so it isn't worth it.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Under hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
+1162 books	−1701 book	5/10
+6301 book	—	9/10
+20001 book	—	10/10

Compare 2 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 0.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 0.5 Points, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 0.5	Under 0.5
DraftKings3 min ago	+125Best	−170Best
FanDuel3 min ago	+116	—
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 5:00 AM ET. The page leads with the Under's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

0.5

Under isn't priced at 0.5 right now.

Valeri Nichushkin's full game log and splits