Tyson Foerster

Philadelphia Flyers · RW · #71

PHI @ NYR · Live

Over Under1.5

Over 1.5 Shots on Goal, typical price −1603 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

70%7 of 10L10

Over 1.5 Shots on Goal cleared in 7 of his last 10 games (2 of 3 on the road).

vs CAR, 2026-10-11: 1, missed, 17.6 min
vs SEA, 2026-10-13: 2, cleared, 16 min
at DET, 2026-10-15: 2, cleared, 17.3 min
vs OTT, 2026-10-17: 3, cleared, 18.7 min
at BUF, 2026-10-21: 3, cleared, 16.8 min
vs ANA, 2026-10-24: 3, cleared, 18.7 min
vs CBJ, 2026-10-27: 3, cleared, 16.8 min
at WSH, 2026-10-28: 1, missed, 19.3 min
vs UTAH, 2026-11-01: 1, missed, 13.4 min
vs MIN, 2026-11-03: 3, cleared, 16 min

ClearedMissedThe 1.5 linehis 2026–27 time on ice

Our model's range for yesterday's game: a typical game lands 0–4 shots on goal.

What's different yesterday

Over 1.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

Teammate out
Rasmus Ristolainen: Injured Reserve (hand)
Over 1.5 without him: 9 of 13; with him: 14 of 21 (34 games as teammates)
Opposing goalie
Dylan Garand (Confirmed)
Saves: 225 of 251 (.896) over his last 10 games · 9 of NYR's last 10 starts
Defense vs forwards
NYR allow 18.7 shots on goal a game to forwards: 24th most of 32
16 games · last 10 games: 19.4, 18th most
Time on ice
Last 5: 16.8 min · 2026–27: 17.3 (16 games)
Power play: 1.8 min last 5 · 2.5 2026–27

Splits

Over 1.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against NYR in his last 10; Over 1.5 cleared in 6 of 7 against NYR on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 1.5 · L10

Trevor ZegrasC
Matvei MichkovRW
Oliver BonkD
Rasmus RistolainenDInjured Reserve

The three skaters with the most points a game among those playing 12+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out yesterday. Only games they were teammates on the Flyers count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs NYR

Foerster didn't play the Mar 9 meeting; shots on goal the last time Foerster faced them: 4 (Apr 9, 2025)

Over 1.5 hit in 6 of 7 games against NYR on record

L10 · Over 1.5

Average: 2.2; +0.7 vs line
Median: 2.5; +1 vs line
Hit rate: 70%; 7 of 10
Price implies: 62%; at −160
Books’ fair: 56%; margin removed
Our chance: 61%; estimate · fair −159

Research, not a pick. At −137 (the best of 3 sportsbooks) the price beats our fair −159, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−7501 book	—	10/10
−1603 books	+1183 books	7/10
+1801 book	—	5/10
+4501 book	—	0/10
+10001 book	—	0/10

Compare 3 sportsbooks and 1 pick'em app at 1.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 1.5 Shots on Goal, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 1.5	Under 1.5
Pinnacle9 hr ago	−137Best	+103
DraftKings9 hr ago	−160	+120Best
Bally Bet9 hr ago	−167	+118
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 7:09 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

1.5

Over: −110 → −160 since first seen

Tyson Foerster's full game log and splits

This page last updated 7:10 PM ET.