Tony DeAngelo

New York Islanders · D · #77

NJ @ NYI · Today 7:00 PM

Over Under1.5

Under 1.5 Shots on Goal, typical price −1373 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

67%10 of 15L20 · Without Barzal

Under 1.5 Shots on Goal hit in 10 of 15 games without Mathew Barzal (his last 20 games).

vs CHI, 2026-03-24: 0, hit, 6.2 min (not counted)
vs TOR, 2026-04-09: 4, missed, 20.6 min (not counted)
vs OTT, 2026-04-11: 1, hit, 19.7 min (not counted)
vs MTL, 2026-04-12: 3, missed, 22.7 min (not counted)
vs CAR, 2026-04-14: 1, hit, 19.6 min (not counted)
at TOR, 2026-09-30: 0, hit, 17.2 min
vs NJ, 2026-10-03: 3, missed, 17.7 min
at NYR, 2026-10-06: 1, hit, 18.2 min
vs CHI, 2026-10-08: 0, hit, 13.7 min
vs TB, 2026-10-10: 2, missed, 16.6 min
vs VAN, 2026-10-13: 3, missed, 17 min
at OTT, 2026-10-15: 0, hit, 15 min
at TOR, 2026-10-17: 2, missed, 15.2 min
vs ANA, 2026-10-20: 0, hit, 14.6 min
vs LA, 2026-10-22: 1, hit, 18.2 min
at DAL, 2026-10-25: 0, hit, 17.2 min
at NSH, 2026-10-27: 2, missed, 16.8 min
at MIN, 2026-10-29: 0, hit, 21.4 min
vs EDM, 2026-10-31: 1, hit, 20.9 min
vs CAR, 2026-11-05: 1, hit, 19.9 min

Under hitMissedThe 1.5 linehis 2026–27 time on ice

Our model's range for today's game: a typical game lands 0–3 shots on goal.

What's different today

Under 1.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

TodayTeammate out
Mathew Barzal: Injured Reserve (knee)
Under 1.5 without him: 10 of 16; with him: 32 of 75 (91 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Matias Maccelli: Injured Reserve (lower body)
Under 1.5 without him: 6 of 7; with him: 4 of 8 (15 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Calum Ritchie: Injured Reserve (lower body)
Under 1.5 without him: 7 of 14; with him: 33 of 67 (81 games as teammates)
Opposing goalie
Connor Hellebuyck (Expected)
Saves: 205 of 234 (.876) over his last 10 games · 4 of NJ's last 10 starts

Splits

Under 1.5 · L20 · counts, not in order

Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Under 1.5 · L20

Matthew SchaeferD
Mathew BarzalCInjured Reserve
Bo HorvatC
Matias MaccelliLWInjured Reserve
Calum RitchieCInjured Reserve

The three skaters with the most points a game among those playing 12+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Islanders count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs NJ

Shots on Goal: 3 in 17.7 min, Oct 3 (home)

Under 1.5 hit in 6 of 7 games against NJ on record

L20 · Without Barzal · Under 1.5

Average: 1.1; −0.4 vs line
Median: 1; −0.5 vs line
Hit rate: 67%; 10 of 15
Price implies: 58%; at −137
Books’ fair: 53%; margin removed
Our chance: 59%; estimate · fair −144

Research, not a pick. At −137 (the best of 2 sportsbooks) the price beats our fair −144, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Under hits, L20 · Without Barzal

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Line	Over	Under	L20
	−1033 books	−1372 books	10/15

Compare 3 sportsbooks and 3 pick'em apps at 1.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 1.5 Shots on Goal, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 1.5	Under 1.5
Bally Bet2 min ago	−103Best	−137Best
betPARX2 min ago	−103Best	−137Best
BetRivers4 min ago	−103Best	—
PrizePickspick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 11:09 AM ET. The page leads with the Under's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

1.5

Under isn't priced at 1.5 right now.

Tony DeAngelo's full game log and splits