Tommy Novak

Pittsburgh Penguins · C · #18

VGK @ PIT · Today 7:00 PM

Over Under0.5

Over 0.5 Goals, typical price +2357 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

What's different tonight

Over 0.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

TonightTeammate out
Bryan Rust: Injured Reserve (lower body)
Over 0.5 without him: 3 of 15; with him: 16 of 85 (100 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Evgeni Malkin: Out (lower body)
Over 0.5 without him: 8 of 27; with him: 11 of 75 (102 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Trevor van Riemsdyk: Injured Reserve (lower body)
Over 0.5 without him: 1 of 9; with him: 2 of 5 (14 games as teammates)
Opposing goalie
Adin Hill (Expected)
Saves: 233 of 262 (.889) over his last 10 games · 5 of VGK's last 10 starts

29%2 of 7L20 · Without Rust

Over 0.5 Goals cleared in 2 of 7 games without Bryan Rust (his last 20 games).

vs PHI, 2026-04-18: 0, missed, 13.4 min (not counted)
vs PHI, 2026-04-20: 0, missed, 13.2 min (not counted)
at PHI, 2026-04-22: 0, missed, 12.7 min (not counted)
at PHI, 2026-04-25: 0, missed, 13 min (not counted)
vs PHI, 2026-04-27: 0, missed, 14.1 min (not counted)
at PHI, 2026-04-29: 0, missed, 17.4 min (not counted)
at PHI, 2026-09-30: 0, missed, 16.1 min
vs MTL, 2026-10-03: 2, cleared, 14.7 min
vs WPG, 2026-10-05: 0, missed, 15.2 min
at WSH, 2026-10-07: 1, cleared, 15.3 min (not counted)
at CBJ, 2026-10-09: 0, missed, 14.6 min (not counted)
vs DAL, 2026-10-10: 0, missed, 15.7 min (not counted)
at CHI, 2026-10-13: 0, missed, 16.6 min (not counted)
at COL, 2026-10-16: 0, missed, 15.3 min (not counted)
at VGK, 2026-10-17: 0, missed, 12.7 min (not counted)
at UTAH, 2026-10-19: 0, missed, 13.1 min (not counted)
vs FLA, 2026-10-22: 0, missed, 16.6 min
vs NSH, 2026-10-24: 0, missed, 19.5 min
vs UTAH, 2026-10-29: 0, missed, 17.1 min
at MTL, 2026-10-31: 1, cleared, 18 min

ClearedMissedThe 0.5 linehis 2026–27 time on ice

Splits

Over 0.5 · L20 · counts, not in order

Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 0.5 · L20

Erik KarlssonD
Sidney CrosbyC
Bryan RustRWInjured Reserve
Evgeni MalkinCOut
Trevor van RiemsdykDInjured Reserve

The three skaters with the most points a game among those playing 12+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out tonight. Only games they were teammates on the Penguins count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs VGK

Goals: 0 in 12.7 min, Oct 17 (away)

Over 0.5 hit in 1 of 7 games against VGK on record

L20 · Without Rust · Over 0.5

Average: 0.4; −0.1 vs line
Median: 0; −0.5 vs line
Hit rate: 29%; 2 of 7
Price implies: 30%; at +235
Books’ fair: 28%; margin removed
Time on ice: 16.7; 7 games · 14.3 in 2025–26

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 0.5 28%.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L20 · Without Rust

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L20
+2357 books	−3282 books	2/7
+15946 books	—	1/7
+100005 books	—	0/7

Compare 7 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 0.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 0.5 Goals, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 0.5	Under 0.5
Bally Bet2 min ago	+235Best	—
betPARXjust now	+235Best	—
BetRivers2 min ago	+235Best	—
Pinnacle2 min ago	+235Best	−337
FanDuel3 min ago	+230	−320Best
Bovada2 min ago	+225	—
DraftKings2 min ago	+220	—
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 5:40 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

0.5

Over +242 → +235 since first seen

Tommy Novak's full game log and splits