Thomas Harley

Dallas Stars · D · #55

DAL @ WSH · Today 7:00 PM

Over Under1.5

Over 1.5 Shots on Goal, typical price −1107 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

What's different tonight

Over 1.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

TonightTeammate out
Matt Duchene: Injured Reserve (abdomen)
Over 1.5 without him: 14 of 28; with him: 40 of 74 (102 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Oskar Back: Injured Reserve (finger)
Over 1.5 without him: 10 of 23; with him: 44 of 79 (102 games as teammates)
Opposing goalie
Logan Thompson (Confirmed)
Saves: 253 of 279 (.907) over his last 10 games · 7 of WSH's last 10 starts
Defense vs defensemen
WSH allow 7.4 shots on goal a game to defensemen: 16th most of 32
13 games · last 10 games: 7.0, 24th most

50%7 of 14L20 · Without Duchene

Over 1.5 Shots on Goal cleared in 7 of 14 games without Matt Duchene (his last 20 games).

vs MIN, 2026-04-18: 1, missed, 19.7 min (not counted)
vs MIN, 2026-04-20: 0, missed, 19.9 min (not counted)
at MIN, 2026-04-22: 2, cleared, 29.4 min (not counted)
at MIN, 2026-04-25: 6, cleared, 28.8 min (not counted)
vs MIN, 2026-04-28: 4, cleared, 22.4 min (not counted)
at MIN, 2026-04-30: 2, cleared, 25.4 min (not counted)
vs STL, 2026-10-02: 1, missed, 21 min
at NSH, 2026-10-03: 2, cleared, 26 min
vs SJ, 2026-10-05: 0, missed, 21.5 min
at BUF, 2026-10-08: 0, missed, 23.6 min
at PIT, 2026-10-10: 7, cleared, 25.1 min
vs COL, 2026-10-13: 0, missed, 25.9 min
at COL, 2026-10-14: 3, cleared, 23.1 min
at CHI, 2026-10-17: 0, missed, 24.8 min
vs BOS, 2026-10-20: 3, cleared, 27.8 min
vs WPG, 2026-10-22: 2, cleared, 28.5 min
vs NYI, 2026-10-25: 3, cleared, 24.7 min
vs NJ, 2026-10-27: 1, missed, 26.7 min
vs MTL, 2026-10-29: 1, missed, 24.9 min
vs CBJ, 2026-10-31: 2, cleared, 22.8 min

ClearedMissedThe 1.5 linehis 2026–27 time on ice

Splits

Over 1.5 · L20 · counts, not in order

No game against WSH in his last 20; Over 1.5 cleared in 1 of 3 against WSH on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 1.5 · L20

Mikko RantanenRW
Jason RobertsonLW
Matt DucheneCInjured Reserve
Oskar BackCInjured Reserve

The three skaters with the most points a game among those playing 12+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out tonight. Only games they were teammates on the Stars count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs WSH

Shots on Goal: 2 in 22.2 min, Jan 7 (away)

Over 1.5 hit in 1 of 3 games against WSH on record

L20 · Without Duchene · Over 1.5

Average: 1.8; +0.3 vs line
Median: 1.5; ±0 vs line
Hit rate: 50%; 7 of 14
Price implies: 52%; at −110
Books’ fair: 48%; margin removed
Time on ice: 24.7; 14 games · 23.2 in 2025–26

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 1.5 48%.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L20 · Without Duchene

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L20
−5003 books	—	10/14
−1107 books	−1225 books	7/14
+3203 books	—	4/14
+9001 book	—	1/14

Compare 7 sportsbooks and 3 pick'em apps at 1.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 1.5 Shots on Goal, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 1.5	Under 1.5
DraftKings6 min ago	+105Best	−140
FanDuel6 min ago	−102	—
Bovada5 min ago	−110	−120Best
Pinnacle6 min ago	−110	−120Best
Bally Bet6 min ago	−113	−122
betPARX6 min ago	−113	−122
BetRivers5 min ago	−113	—
PrizePickspick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 4:45 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

1.5

Over No move since first seen

Thomas Harley's full game log and splits