Taylor Hall
CHI @ CAR · Today 8:00 PMGame log against Over 1.5
70%7 of 10L10
Over 1.5 Shots on Goal cleared in 7 of his last 10 games (1 of 4 at home).
Our model's range for today's game: a typical game lands 1–5 shots on goal.
What's different today
Over 1.5 · facts from past games, not a pick6 of his 7 hits in the last 10 came before Hall missed 9 games. Since he came back: Over 1.5 in 1 of 1.
TodayBack from an absence
Today's game is his 2nd back after missing 9 games in a row (Oct 17 – Nov 3)
Over 1.5 since: 1 of 1
TodayDefense vs forwards
CHI allow 22.7 shots on goal a game to forwards: 2nd most of 32
17 games · last 10 games: 23.5, 3rd most
Teammate out
Jordan Staal: Injured Reserve (calf)
Over 1.5 without him: 5 of 9; with him: 68 of 108 (117 games as teammates)
Opposing goalie
Spencer Knight (Expected)
Saves: 272 of 305 (.892) over his last 10 games · 8 of CHI's last 10 starts
Splits
Over 1.5 · L10 · counts, not in orderTap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.
With or without
Over 1.5 · L10Sebastian AhoC
Jackson BlakeRW
Andrei SvechnikovLW
Jordan StaalCInjured Reserve
The three skaters with the most points a game among those playing 12+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Hurricanes count; “without” is a game he didn't play.
Last vs CHI
Shots on Goal: 4 in 14.1 min, Oct 10 (away)
Over 1.5 hit in 2 of 3 games against CHI on record
L10 · Over 1.5
- Average
- 2.1
- +0.6 vs line
- Median
- 2
- +0.5 vs line
- Hit rate
- 70%
- 7 of 10
- Price implies
- 67%
- at −205
- Books’ fair
- 59%
- margin removed
- Our chance
- 65%
- estimate · fair −186
Research, not a pick. At −175 (the best of 6 sportsbooks) the price beats our fair −186, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.
Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.
Lines posted now
Over hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −13003 books | — | 9/10 | |
| −2056 books | +1232 books | 7/10 | |
| pick'em only | pick'em only | 3/10 | |
| +1404 books | −1883 books | 3/10 | |
| +3753 books | — | 2/10 | |
| +6502 books | — | 0/10 | |
| +18001 book | — | 0/10 |
Compare 6 sportsbooks and 1 pick'em app at 1.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
|---|---|---|
| Bally Bet7 min ago | −175Best | +123Best |
| betPARX8 min ago | −175Best | +123Best |
| BetRivers6 min ago | −175Best | — |
| DraftKings7 min ago | −205 | — |
| Bovada6 min ago | −213 | — |
| FanDuel6 min ago | −215 | — |
| Sleeperpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 11:05 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
1.52.5 → 1.5 since first seen


