Steven Stamkos
NSH @ COL · Today 9:30 PMGame log against Over 0.5
60%6 of 10L10
Over 0.5 Points cleared in 6 of his last 10 games (1 of 2 on the road).
Our model's range for today's game: a typical game lands 0–2 points.
What's different today
Over 0.5 · facts from past games, not a pickOpposing goalie
Mackenzie Blackwood (Expected)
Saves: 216 of 243 (.889) over his last 10 games · 7 of COL's last 10 starts
Defense vs forwards
COL allow 6.38 points a game to forwards: 16th most of 32
16 games · last 10 games: 6.50, 12th most
Time on ice
Last 5: 18.3 min · 2026–27: 18.7 (15 games)
Power play: 4.3 min last 5 · 3.8 2026–27
Rest
1 day off since Nov 3 vs CAR
At altitude: Denver, 5,280 ft
Splits
Over 0.5 · L10 · counts, not in orderTap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.
With or without
Over 0.5 · L10Roman JosiD
Filip ForsbergLW
Ryan O'ReillyC
The three skaters with the most points a game among those playing 12+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Predators count; “without” is a game he didn't play.
Last vs COL
Points: 3 in 17.8 min, Oct 25 (home)
Over 0.5 hit in 4 of 9 games against COL on record
L10 · Over 0.5
- Average
- 0.9
- +0.4 vs line
- Median
- 1
- +0.5 vs line
- Hit rate
- 60%
- 6 of 10
- Price implies
- 57%
- at −130
- Books’ fair
- 53%
- margin removed
- Our chance
- 58%
- estimate · fair −138
Research, not a pick. At −130 (the best of 6 sportsbooks) the price beats our fair −138, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.
Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.
Lines posted now
Over hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −1306 books | +1002 books | 6/10 | |
| +3605 books | — | 2/10 | |
| +14002 books | — | 1/10 |
Compare 6 sportsbooks and 3 pick'em apps at 0.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
|---|---|---|
| Bally Bet2 min ago | −130Best | — |
| betPARX2 min ago | −130Best | — |
| BetRivers1 min ago | −130Best | — |
| FanDuel1 min ago | −130Best | — |
| Pinnacle2 min ago | −133 | +100Best |
| DraftKings2 min ago | −135 | +100Best |
| PrizePickspick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
| Sleeperpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
| Underdogpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 12:20 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
0.5Over: No move since first seen


