Sidney Crosby

Pittsburgh Penguins · C · #87

VGK @ PIT · Today 7:00 PM

Over Under0.5

Over 0.5 Points, typical price −2104 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

Teammate on the injury report

Bryan RustInjured Reserve · lower body

Without him: Over 0.5 in 4 of 7; with him: 6 of 13 (his last 20 games).

57%4 of 7L20 · Without Rust

Over 0.5 Points cleared in 4 of 7 games without Bryan Rust (his last 20 games).

vs PHI, 2026-04-18: 0, missed, 19.6 min (not counted)
vs PHI, 2026-04-20: 0, missed, 20.9 min (not counted)
at PHI, 2026-04-22: 1, cleared, 23 min (not counted)
at PHI, 2026-04-25: 2, cleared, 18.9 min (not counted)
vs PHI, 2026-04-27: 2, cleared, 20.2 min (not counted)
at PHI, 2026-04-29: 0, missed, 23.2 min (not counted)
at PHI, 2026-09-30: 1, cleared, 17.7 min
vs MTL, 2026-10-03: 1, cleared, 19.9 min
vs WPG, 2026-10-05: 0, missed, 19.5 min
at WSH, 2026-10-07: 0, missed, 19.1 min (not counted)
at CBJ, 2026-10-09: 0, missed, 19.7 min (not counted)
vs DAL, 2026-10-10: 0, missed, 22.7 min (not counted)
at CHI, 2026-10-13: 2, cleared, 19.3 min (not counted)
at COL, 2026-10-16: 1, cleared, 19.8 min (not counted)
at VGK, 2026-10-17: 1, cleared, 18.3 min (not counted)
at UTAH, 2026-10-19: 0, missed, 18.5 min (not counted)
vs FLA, 2026-10-22: 0, missed, 16.7 min
vs NSH, 2026-10-24: 1, cleared, 19.6 min
vs UTAH, 2026-10-29: 0, missed, 19.5 min
at MTL, 2026-10-31: 3, cleared, 20.4 min

ClearedMissedThe 0.5 lineTime on ice

Our model's range for tonight: a typical night lands 0–2 points.

Count only

Over 0.5 · L20

With or without

Over 0.5 · L20

Erik KarlssonD
Bryan RustRWInjured Reserve
Evgeni MalkinCDay-To-Day
Trevor van RiemsdykDInjured Reserve
Ryan GravesDInjured Reserve

The three skaters with the most points a game among those playing 12+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out tonight. Only games they were teammates on the Penguins count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Matchup · 16 games

VGK allow 5.44 points a game to forwards: 28th most of 32

Rest

2 days off since Oct 31 at MTL

Last vs VGK

Points: 1 in 18.3 min, Oct 17 (away)

Over 0.5 hit in 2 of 3 games against VGK on record

L20 · Without Rust · Over 0.5

Average: 0.9; +0.4 vs line
Median: 1; +0.5 vs line
Hit rate: 57%; 4 of 7
Price implies: 68%; at −210
Books’ fair: 67%; margin removed
Our chance: 59%; estimate · fair −146

Research, not a pick. At −200 (the best of 4 sportsbooks) the price is worse than our fair −146, so it isn't worth it.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge: props on our numbers have lost money since Oct 7.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L20 · Without Rust

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L20
−2104 books	+1801 book	4/7
+2254 books	—	1/7
+6504 books	—	1/7

Compare 4 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 0.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 0.5 Points, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 0.5	Under 0.5
betPARX3 min ago	−200Best	—
BetRivers2 min ago	−200Best	—
FanDuel4 min ago	−220	—
DraftKings13 min ago	−245	+180Best
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 6:29 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

0.5

1.5 → 0.5 since first seen