Sidney Crosby
BOS @ PIT · Today 7:00 PM
Game log against Under 0.5
50%4 of 8L20 · Without Rust
Under 0.5 Assists hit in 4 of 8 games without Bryan Rust (his last 20 games).
Our model's range for today's game: a typical game lands 0–1 assists.
What's different today
Under 0.5 · facts from past games, not a pick4 of his 7 hits in the last 10 came with Bryan Rust playing; Rust is out today. Without him: Under 0.5 in 8 of 14.
TodayTeammate out
Bryan Rust: Injured Reserve (lower body)
Under 0.5 without him: 8 of 14; with him: 36 of 73 (87 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Trevor van Riemsdyk: Injured Reserve (lower body)
Under 0.5 without him: 7 of 10; with him: 3 of 5 (15 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Ryan Graves: Injured Reserve (knee)
Under 0.5 without him: 27 of 55; with him: 10 of 20 (75 games as teammates)
Opposing goalie
Jeremy Swayman (Expected)
Saves: 238 of 263 (.905) over his last 10 games · 7 of BOS's last 10 starts
Splits
Under 0.5 · L20 · counts, not in orderNo game against BOS in his last 20; Under 0.5 hit in 2 of 6 against BOS on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.
With or without
Under 0.5 · L20Erik KarlssonD
Bryan RustRWInjured Reserve
Evgeni MalkinC
Trevor van RiemsdykDInjured Reserve
Ryan GravesDInjured Reserve
The three skaters with the most points a game among those playing 12+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Penguins count; “without” is a game he didn't play.
Last vs BOS
Crosby didn't play the Mar 8 meeting; assists the last time Crosby faced them: 0 (Jan 11)
Under 0.5 hit in 2 of 6 games against BOS on record
L20 · Without Rust · Under 0.5
- Average
- 0.6
- +0.1 vs line
- Median
- 0.5
- ±0 vs line
- Hit rate
- 50%
- 4 of 8
- Price implies
- 57%
- at −135
- Books’ fair
- 52%
- margin removed
- Our chance
- 59%
- estimate · fair −146
Research, not a pick. At −121 (the best of 2 sportsbooks) the price beats our fair −146, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.
Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.
Lines posted now
Under hits, L20 · Without Rust| Line | Over | Under | L20 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −1126 books | −1352 books | 4/8 | |
| +4402 books | — | 7/8 | |
| +15001 book | — | 8/8 |
Compare 6 sportsbooks and 3 pick'em apps at 0.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle8 min ago | −110 | −121Best |
| DraftKings8 min ago | +100Best | −135 |
| Bally Bet8 min ago | −112 | — |
| betPARX5 min ago | −112 | — |
| BetRivers5 min ago | −112 | — |
| FanDuel4 min ago | −120 | — |
| PrizePickspick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
| Sleeperpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
| Underdogpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 2:44 PM ET. The page leads with the Under's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
0.5Under isn't priced at 0.5 right now.