Sidney Crosby

Pittsburgh Penguins · C · #87

Under 0.5 Assists, typical price −1177 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

What's different tonight

Under 0.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

5 of his 7 hits in the last 10 came with Bryan Rust playing; Rust is out tonight. Without him: Under 0.5 in 7 of 13.

TonightTeammate out
Bryan Rust: Injured Reserve (lower body)
Under 0.5 without him: 7 of 13; with him: 36 of 73 (86 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Evgeni Malkin: Out (lower body)
Under 0.5 without him: 5 of 19; with him: 39 of 69 (88 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Trevor van Riemsdyk: Injured Reserve (lower body)
Under 0.5 without him: 6 of 9; with him: 3 of 5 (14 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Ryan Graves: Injured Reserve (knee)
Under 0.5 without him: 26 of 54; with him: 10 of 20 (74 games as teammates)

43%3 of 7L20 · Without Rust

Under 0.5 Assists hit in 3 of 7 games without Bryan Rust (his last 20 games).

vs PHI, 2026-04-18: 0, hit, 19.6 min (not counted)
vs PHI, 2026-04-20: 0, hit, 20.9 min (not counted)
at PHI, 2026-04-22: 1, missed, 23 min (not counted)
at PHI, 2026-04-25: 1, missed, 18.9 min (not counted)
vs PHI, 2026-04-27: 2, missed, 20.2 min (not counted)
at PHI, 2026-04-29: 0, hit, 23.2 min (not counted)
at PHI, 2026-09-30: 1, missed, 17.7 min
vs MTL, 2026-10-03: 1, missed, 19.9 min
vs WPG, 2026-10-05: 0, hit, 19.5 min
at WSH, 2026-10-07: 0, hit, 19.1 min (not counted)
at CBJ, 2026-10-09: 0, hit, 19.7 min (not counted)
vs DAL, 2026-10-10: 0, hit, 22.7 min (not counted)
at CHI, 2026-10-13: 0, hit, 19.3 min (not counted)
at COL, 2026-10-16: 1, missed, 19.8 min (not counted)
at VGK, 2026-10-17: 0, hit, 18.3 min (not counted)
at UTAH, 2026-10-19: 0, hit, 18.5 min (not counted)
vs FLA, 2026-10-22: 0, hit, 16.7 min
vs NSH, 2026-10-24: 1, missed, 19.6 min
vs UTAH, 2026-10-29: 0, hit, 19.5 min
at MTL, 2026-10-31: 2, missed, 20.4 min

Under hitMissedThe 0.5 lineTime on ice

Our model's range for tonight: a typical night lands 0–1 assists.

Count only

Under 0.5 · L20

With or without

Under 0.5 · L20

Erik KarlssonD
Bryan RustRWInjured Reserve
Evgeni MalkinCOut
Trevor van RiemsdykDInjured Reserve
Ryan GravesDInjured Reserve

The three skaters with the most points a game among those playing 12+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out tonight. Only games they were teammates on the Penguins count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs VGK

Assists: 0 in 18.3 min, Oct 17 (away)

Under 0.5 hit in 3 of 3 games against VGK on record

L20 · Without Rust · Under 0.5

Average: 0.7; +0.2 vs line
Median: 1; +0.5 vs line
Hit rate: 43%; 3 of 7
Price implies: 54%; at −117
Books’ fair: 50%; margin removed
Our chance: 57%; estimate · fair −133

Research, not a pick. At −110 (the best of 2 sportsbooks) the price beats our fair −133, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge: props on our numbers have lost money since Oct 7.

Lines posted now

Under hits, L20 · Without Rust

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L20
−1087 books	−1172 books	3/7
+4753 books	—	6/7
+15002 books	—	7/7

Compare 7 sportsbooks and 3 pick'em apps at 0.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 0.5 Assists, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 0.5	Under 0.5
DraftKings9 min ago	−120	−110Best
Pinnacle5 min ago	−106Best	−125
Bally Bet5 min ago	−108	—
betPARX4 min ago	−108	—
BetRivers5 min ago	−108	—
Bovada7 min ago	−108	—
FanDuel3 min ago	−108	—
PrizePickspick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 12:55 PM ET. The page leads with the Under's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

0.5

Under isn't priced at 0.5 right now.

Sidney Crosby's full game log and splits