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Shayne Gostisbehere

Carolina Hurricanes · D · #4

CAR @ NYI · Today 7:00 PM
OverUnder0.5
Under 0.5 Assists, typical price −1836 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

Game log against Under 0.5

60%6 of 10L10

Under 0.5 Assists hit in 6 of his last 10 games (3 of 6 on the road).

  1. vs WSH, 2026-10-13: 0, hit, 19 min
  2. at WPG, 2026-10-17: 2, missed, 15.8 min
  3. at CGY, 2026-10-18: 0, hit, 16.9 min
  4. at VAN, 2026-10-20: 0, hit, 17.7 min
  5. at EDM, 2026-10-22: 2, missed, 15.4 min
  6. at STL, 2026-10-24: 0, hit, 17.7 min
  7. vs BOS, 2026-10-27: 0, hit, 15.4 min
  8. vs CBJ, 2026-10-29: 0, hit, 16.1 min
  9. vs WPG, 2026-11-01: 2, missed, 17.4 min
  10. at NSH, 2026-11-03: 1, missed, 20.8 min
Under hitMissedThe 0.5 linehis 2026–27 time on ice

Our model's range for today's game: a typical game lands 0–2 assists.

What's different today

Under 0.5 · facts from past games, not a pick
  • TodayOpposing goalie

    Semyon Varlamov (Expected)

    Saves: 81 of 91 (.890) over his last 4 games · 3 of NYI's last 10 starts · Ilya Sorokin started 7

  • Teammate out

    Jordan Staal: Injured Reserve (calf)

    Under 0.5 without him: 10 of 17; with him: 51 of 84 (101 games as teammates)

  • Defense vs defensemen

    NYI allow 1.57 assists a game to defensemen: 18th most of 32

    14 games · last 10 games: 1.80, 15th most

  • Time on ice

    Last 5: 17.5 min · 2026–27: 17.7 (17 games)

    Power play: 3 min last 5 · 4 2026–27

Splits

Under 0.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against NYI in his last 10; Under 0.5 hit in 3 of 8 against NYI on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Under 0.5 · L10
  • Sebastian AhoC

  • Jackson BlakeRW

  • Nikolaj EhlersLW

  • Jordan StaalCInjured Reserve

The three skaters with the most points a game among those playing 12+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Hurricanes count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs NYI

Assists: 0 in 19.3 min, Apr 14 (away)

Under 0.5 hit in 3 of 8 games against NYI on record

L10 · Under 0.5

Average
0.7
+0.2 vs line
Median
0
−0.5 vs line
Hit rate
60%
6 of 10
Price implies
65%
at −183
Books’ fair
60%
margin removed
Our chance
59%
estimate · fair −143

Research, not a pick. At −170 (the best of 2 sportsbooks) the price is worse than our fair −143, so it isn't worth it.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Under hits, L10
Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
LineOverUnderL10
+1156 books−1832 books6/10
+7002 books—7/10
Compare 6 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 0.5
Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 0.5 Assists, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · readOver 0.5Under 0.5
DraftKings3 min ago+125−170Best
Pinnacle3 min ago+136Best−183
Bally Bet3 min ago+115—
betPARX5 min ago+115—
BetRivers3 min ago+115—
FanDuel2 min ago+126—
Sleeperpick'em, posted nowLine posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted nowLine posted, no price

Prices as of 11:10 AM ET. The page leads with the Under's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

0.5

Under isn't priced at 0.5 right now.

Shayne Gostisbehere's full game log and splits