Shane Pinto
OTT @ BUF · Today 7:30 PMWhat's different today
Over 0.5 · facts from past games, not a pickTodayOpposing goalie
Colten Ellis (Expected)
Saves: 232 of 258 (.899) over his last 10 games · 3 of BUF's last 10 starts · Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen started 7
Teammate out
William Eklund: Injured Reserve (ankle)
Over 0.5 without him: 7 of 12; with him: 3 of 4 (16 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Warren Foegele: Injured Reserve (knee)
Over 0.5 without him: 2 of 3; with him: 20 of 38 (41 games as teammates)
Defense vs forwards
BUF allow 7.21 points a game to forwards: 7th most of 32
14 games · last 10 games: 6.70, 11th most
Game log against Over 0.5
50%5 of 10L10
Over 0.5 Points cleared in 5 of his last 10 games (3 of 5 on the road).
Splits
Over 0.5 · L10 · counts, not in orderNo game against BUF in his last 10; Over 0.5 cleared in 3 of 6 against BUF on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.
With or without
Over 0.5 · L10Tim StutzleC
Drake BathersonRW
Jake SandersonD
William EklundLWInjured Reserve
Warren FoegeleLWInjured Reserve
The three skaters with the most points a game among those playing 12+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Senators count; “without” is a game he didn't play.
Last vs BUF
Points: 1 in 20.2 min, Apr 2 (home)
Over 0.5 hit in 3 of 6 games against BUF on record
L10 · Over 0.5
- Average
- 0.6
- +0.1 vs line
- Median
- 0.5
- ±0 vs line
- Hit rate
- 50%
- 5 of 10
- Price implies
- 53%
- at −111
- Books’ fair
- —
- needs both sides
- Time on ice
- 19.5
- 10 games · 18.9 in 2025–26
Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet.
Lines posted now
Over hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −1111 book | pick'em only | 5/10 | |
| +4801 book | — | 1/10 | |
| +17001 book | — | 0/10 |
Compare 1 sportsbook and 2 pick'em apps at 0.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
|---|---|---|
| FanDuel2 min ago | −111Best | — |
| PrizePickspick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
| Underdogpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 12:07 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
0.5Over No move since first seen


