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Seth Jarvis

Carolina Hurricanes · C · #24

CAR @ NSH · Today 8:00 PM
OverUnder0.5
Under 0.5 Assists, typical price −2027 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

What's different tonight

Under 0.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

  • Teammate out

    Taylor Hall: Out (upper body)

    Under 0.5 without him: 3 of 6; with him: 59 of 99 (105 games as teammates)

  • Teammate out

    Jordan Staal: Injured Reserve (calf)

    Under 0.5 without him: 6 of 9; with him: 56 of 96 (105 games as teammates)

  • Back from an absence

    Tonight is his 6th game back after missing 11 games in a row (Sep 29 – Oct 20)

    Under 0.5 since: 2 of 5

  • Opposing goalie

    Juuse Saros (Confirmed)

    Saves: 278 of 308 (.903) over his last 10 games · 7 of NSH's last 10 starts

Game log against Under 0.5

50%5 of 10L10

Under 0.5 Assists hit in 5 of his last 10 games (3 of 5 on the road).

  1. vs VGK, 2026-06-04: 0, hit, 20.1 min
  2. at VGK, 2026-06-06: 1, missed, 27.4 min
  3. at VGK, 2026-06-09: 0, hit, 18.5 min
  4. vs VGK, 2026-06-11: 1, missed, 19.9 min
  5. at VGK, 2026-06-14: 0, hit, 18.7 min
  6. at EDM, 2026-10-22: 0, hit, 15.3 min
  7. at STL, 2026-10-24: 2, missed, 16.3 min
  8. vs BOS, 2026-10-27: 0, hit, 16.5 min
  9. vs CBJ, 2026-10-29: 2, missed, 16.4 min
  10. vs WPG, 2026-11-01: 2, missed, 16.3 min
Under hitMissedThe 0.5 linehis 2026–27 time on ice

Our model's range for tonight: a typical night lands 0–2 assists.

Splits

Under 0.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against NSH in his last 10; Under 0.5 hit in 1 of 4 against NSH on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Under 0.5 · L10

  • Sebastian AhoC

  • Jackson BlakeRW

  • Nikolaj EhlersLW

  • Taylor HallLWOut

  • Jordan StaalCInjured Reserve

The three skaters with the most points a game among those playing 12+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out tonight. Only games they were teammates on the Hurricanes count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs NSH

Assists: 0 in 21.7 min, Dec 17, 2025 (away)

Under 0.5 hit in 1 of 4 games against NSH on record

L10 · Under 0.5

Average
0.8
+0.3 vs line
Median
0.5
±0 vs line
Hit rate
50%
5 of 10
Price implies
67%
at −202
Books’ fair
63%
margin removed
Our chance
58%
estimate · fair −139

Research, not a pick. At −194 (the best of 2 sportsbooks) the price is worse than our fair −139, so it isn't worth it.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge: props on our numbers have lost money since Oct 7.

Lines posted now

Under hits, L10
Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
LineOverUnderL10
+1557 books−2022 books5/10
+8253 books—7/10
+20001 book—10/10
Compare 7 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 0.5
Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 0.5 Assists, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · readOver 0.5Under 0.5
Pinnacle4 min ago+144−194Best
DraftKings13 min ago+155Best−210
Bally Bet3 min ago+155Best—
betPARX2 min ago+155Best—
BetRivers2 min ago+155Best—
Bovada3 min ago+146—
FanDuel2 min ago+144—
Sleeperpick'em, posted nowLine posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted nowLine posted, no price

Prices as of 6:29 PM ET. The page leads with the Under's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

0.5

Under isn't priced at 0.5 right now.

Seth Jarvis's full game log and splits