Ryan Strome

Calgary Flames · C · #22

CGY @ SEA · Today 10:00 PM

Over Under0.5

Under 0.5 Points, typical price −1804 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

What's different today

Under 0.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

TodayDefense vs forwards
SEA allow 7.64 points a game to forwards: 3rd most of 32
14 games · last 10 games: 8.10, 5th most
Teammate out
Jonathan Huberdeau: Injured Reserve (hip)
Under 0.5 without him: 18 of 34; with him: no games (34 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Connor Zary: Out (knee)
Under 0.5 without him: 9 of 19; with him: 9 of 15 (34 games as teammates)
Opposing goalie
Philipp Grubauer (Expected)
Saves: 217 of 246 (.882) over his last 10 games · 7 of SEA's last 10 starts

60%6 of 10L10

Under 0.5 Points hit in 6 of his last 10 games (3 of 5 on the road).

at ANA, 2026-10-13: 1, missed, 13.6 min
at VGK, 2026-10-15: 0, hit, 13.8 min
vs CAR, 2026-10-18: 0, hit, 13.7 min
vs MIN, 2026-10-22: 0, hit, 15.3 min
vs DET, 2026-10-24: 1, missed, 13.6 min
vs TOR, 2026-10-26: 0, hit, 13.8 min
at EDM, 2026-10-28: 0, hit, 18.5 min
vs SEA, 2026-10-30: 1, missed, 14.6 min
at COL, 2026-10-31: 1, missed, 11.8 min
at SJ, 2026-11-02: 0, hit, 13.2 min

Under hitMissedThe 0.5 linehis 2026–27 time on ice

Our model's range for today's game: a typical game lands 0–1 points.

Splits

Under 0.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Under 0.5 · L10

Matt CoronatoRW
Joel FarabeeLW
Matvei GridinRW
Jonathan HuberdeauLWInjured Reserve
Connor ZaryCOut

The three skaters with the most points a game among those playing 12+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Flames count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs SEA

Points: 1 in 14.6 min, Oct 30 (home)

Under 0.5 hit in 10 of 13 games against SEA on record

L10 · Under 0.5

Average: 0.4; −0.1 vs line
Median: 0; −0.5 vs line
Hit rate: 60%; 6 of 10
Price implies: 64%; at −180
Books’ fair: 60%; margin removed
Our chance: 61%; estimate · fair −154

Research, not a pick. At −180 the price is worse than our fair −154, so it isn't worth it.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Under hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Line	Over	Under	L10
	+1384 books	−1801 book	6/10
	+6504 books	—	10/10

Compare 4 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 0.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 0.5 Points, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 0.5	Under 0.5
DraftKings11 min ago	+130	−180Best
Bally Bet11 min ago	+138Best	—
betPARX1 min ago	+138Best	—
BetRivers1 min ago	+138Best	—
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 6:27 AM ET. The page leads with the Under's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

0.5

Under: No move since first seen

Ryan Strome's full game log and splits