Ryan Leonard
FLA @ WSH · Today 12:30 PMGame log against Over 2.5
50%5 of 10L10
Over 2.5 Shots on Goal cleared in 5 of his last 10 games (4 of 8 at home).
What's different today
Over 2.5 · facts from past games, not a pickTodayDefense vs forwards
FLA allow 16.9 shots on goal a game to forwards: 30th most of 32
16 games · last 10 games: 16.4, 31st most
Teammate out
Rasmus Sandin: Injured Reserve (knee)
Over 2.5 without him: 7 of 23; with him: 22 of 68 (91 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Vincent Desharnais: Injured Reserve (abdomen)
Over 2.5 without him: 4 of 5; with him: 3 of 9 (14 games as teammates)
Opposing goalie
Akira Schmid (Confirmed)
Saves: 205 of 231 (.887) over his last 10 games · 6 of FLA's last 10 starts
Splits
Over 2.5 · L10 · counts, not in orderNo game against FLA in his last 10; Over 2.5 cleared in 1 of 3 against FLA on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.
With or without
Over 2.5 · L10Jack St. IvanyD
Jordan KyrouRW
Alex TuchRW
Rasmus SandinDInjured Reserve
Vincent DesharnaisDInjured Reserve
The three skaters with the most points a game among those playing 12+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Capitals count; “without” is a game he didn't play.
Last vs FLA
Shots on Goal: 2 in 19.6 min, Jan 17 (home)
Over 2.5 hit in 1 of 3 games against FLA on record
L10 · Over 2.5
- Average
- 2.6
- +0.1 vs line
- Median
- 2.5
- ±0 vs line
- Hit rate
- 50%
- 5 of 10
- Price implies
- 38%
- at +165
- Books’ fair
- 34%
- margin removed
- Time on ice
- 14.3
- 10 games · 14.4 in 2025–26
Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 2.5 34%.
Lines posted now
Over hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −10003 books | — | 10/10 | |
| −1904 books | +1414 books | 9/10 | |
| pick'em only | pick'em only | 5/10 | |
| +1656 books | −2452 books | 5/10 | |
| +4103 books | — | 2/10 | |
| +8501 book | — | 0/10 | |
| +20001 book | — | 0/10 |
Compare 6 sportsbooks and 1 pick'em app at 2.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
|---|---|---|
| Bally Bet6 min ago | +170Best | −245Best |
| betPARX1 min ago | +170Best | −245Best |
| BetRivers1 min ago | +170Best | — |
| Bovada6 min ago | +165 | — |
| FanDueljust now | +165 | — |
| DraftKings6 min ago | +150 | — |
| Sleeperpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 11:09 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
2.5No move since first seen


