Robert Thomas

St. Louis Blues · C · #18

STL @ NSH · Today 1:00 PM

Over Under0.5

Over 0.5 Points, typical price −1756 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

60%6 of 10L10

Over 0.5 Points cleared in 6 of his last 10 games (3 of 5 on the road).

at MIN, 2026-10-15: 2, cleared, 22.8 min
at NSH, 2026-10-17: 0, missed, 22.5 min
vs WPG, 2026-10-20: 1, cleared, 20.9 min
vs VGK, 2026-10-22: 1, cleared, 19.5 min
vs CAR, 2026-10-24: 0, missed, 18.3 min
vs MTL, 2026-10-27: 0, missed, 20.8 min
vs BOS, 2026-10-29: 3, cleared, 18.7 min
at DET, 2026-10-31: 1, cleared, 23.8 min
at NYR, 2026-11-03: 0, missed, 22.1 min
at NJ, 2026-11-05: 1, cleared, 21 min

ClearedMissedThe 0.5 linehis 2026–27 time on ice

Our model's range for today's game: a typical game lands 0–2 points.

What's different today

Over 0.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

Teammate out
Logan Mailloux: Injured Reserve (hand)
Over 0.5 without him: 15 of 30; with him: 35 of 50 (80 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Tyler Tucker: Injured Reserve (knee)
Over 0.5 without him: 17 of 28; with him: 33 of 52 (80 games as teammates)
Opposing goalie
Juuse Saros (Expected)
Saves: 280 of 308 (.909) over his last 10 games · 6 of NSH's last 10 starts
Defense vs forwards
NSH allow 5.94 points a game to forwards: 22nd most of 32
16 games · last 10 games: 5.70, 23rd most

Splits

Over 0.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 0.5 · L10

Jimmy SnuggerudRW
Dylan HollowayLW
Mason McTavishC
Logan MaillouxDInjured Reserve
Tyler TuckerDInjured Reserve

The three skaters with the most points a game among those playing 12+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Blues count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs NSH

Points: 0 in 22.5 min, Oct 17 (away)

Over 0.5 hit in 8 of 10 games against NSH on record

L10 · Over 0.5

Average: 0.9; +0.4 vs line
Median: 1; +0.5 vs line
Hit rate: 60%; 6 of 10
Price implies: 64%; at −175
Books’ fair: 63%; margin removed
Our chance: 58%; estimate · fair −136

Research, not a pick. At −174 (the best of 6 sportsbooks) the price is worse than our fair −136, so it isn't worth it.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−1756 books	+1502 books	6/10
+2655 books	—	2/10
+8505 books	—	1/10

Compare 6 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 0.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 0.5 Points, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 0.5	Under 0.5
FanDuel2 min ago	−174Best	—
Bally Bet3 min ago	−175	—
betPARX2 min ago	−175	—
BetRivers2 min ago	−175	—
DraftKings3 min ago	−205	+150Best
Pinnacle3 min ago	−205	+150Best
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 11:05 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

0.5

Over: −192 → −175 since first seen

Robert Thomas's full game log and splits