Robert Thomas

St. Louis Blues · C · #18

STL @ NYR · Today 7:00 PM

Over Under0.5

Over 0.5 Points, typical price −1777 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

What's different tonight

Over 0.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

Teammate out
Logan Mailloux: Injured Reserve (hand)
Over 0.5 without him: 14 of 28; with him: 35 of 50 (78 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Tyler Tucker: Injured Reserve (knee)
Over 0.5 without him: 16 of 26; with him: 33 of 52 (78 games as teammates)
Opposing goalie
Dylan Garand (Confirmed)
Saves: 204 of 230 (.887) over his last 10 games · 9 of NYR's last 10 starts
Defense vs forwards
NYR allow 5.60 points a game to forwards: 26th most of 32
15 games · last 10 games: 6.70, 11th most

70%7 of 10L10

Over 0.5 Points cleared in 7 of his last 10 games (3 of 4 on the road).

vs CBJ, 2026-10-10: 1, cleared, 18.3 min
at OTT, 2026-10-13: 1, cleared, 17.9 min
at MIN, 2026-10-15: 2, cleared, 22.8 min
at NSH, 2026-10-17: 0, missed, 22.5 min
vs WPG, 2026-10-20: 1, cleared, 20.9 min
vs VGK, 2026-10-22: 1, cleared, 19.5 min
vs CAR, 2026-10-24: 0, missed, 18.3 min
vs MTL, 2026-10-27: 0, missed, 20.8 min
vs BOS, 2026-10-29: 3, cleared, 18.7 min
at DET, 2026-10-31: 1, cleared, 23.8 min

ClearedMissedThe 0.5 linehis 2026–27 time on ice

Our model's range for tonight: a typical night lands 0–2 points.

Splits

Over 0.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against NYR in his last 10; Over 0.5 cleared in 2 of 6 against NYR on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 0.5 · L10

Dylan HollowayLW
Jimmy SnuggerudRW
Philip BrobergD
Logan MaillouxDInjured Reserve
Tyler TuckerDInjured Reserve

The three skaters with the most points a game among those playing 12+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out tonight. Only games they were teammates on the Blues count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs NYR

Points: 0 in 21.1 min, Dec 18, 2025 (home)

Over 0.5 hit in 2 of 6 games against NYR on record

L10 · Over 0.5

Average: 1; +0.5 vs line
Median: 1; +0.5 vs line
Hit rate: 70%; 7 of 10
Price implies: 64%; at −177
Books’ fair: 60%; margin removed
Our chance: 57%; estimate · fair −131

Research, not a pick. At −175 (the best of 7 sportsbooks) the price is worse than our fair −131, so it isn't worth it.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge: props on our numbers have lost money since Oct 7.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−1777 books	+1322 books	7/10
+2606 books	—	2/10
+8006 books	—	1/10

Compare 7 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 0.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 0.5 Points, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 0.5	Under 0.5
DraftKings8 min ago	−175Best	+130
Bovada4 min ago	−176	—
Bally Bet4 min ago	−177	—
betPARX3 min ago	−177	—
BetRivers4 min ago	−177	—
Pinnacle4 min ago	−180	+135Best
FanDuel4 min ago	−186	—
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 4:38 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

0.5

Over −188 → −177 since first seen

Robert Thomas's full game log and splits