Ridly Greig

Ottawa Senators · C · #71

OTT @ BUF · Today 7:30 PM

Over Under0.5

Over 0.5 Goals, typical price +4405 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

What's different today

Over 0.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

TodayOpposing goalie
Colten Ellis (Expected)
Saves: 232 of 258 (.899) over his last 10 games · 3 of BUF's last 10 starts · Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen started 7
Teammate out
William Eklund: Injured Reserve (ankle)
Over 0.5 without him: 2 of 12; with him: 0 of 2 (14 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Warren Foegele: Injured Reserve (knee)
Over 0.5 without him: 1 of 3; with him: 5 of 36 (39 games as teammates)
Defense vs forwards
BUF allow 3.21 goals a game to forwards: 5th most of 32
14 games · last 10 games: 3.00, 9th most

20%2 of 10L10

Over 0.5 Goals cleared in 2 of his last 10 games (1 of 5 on the road).

vs STL, 2026-10-13: 0, missed, 14.1 min
vs NYI, 2026-10-15: 1, cleared, 17.5 min
at PHI, 2026-10-17: 0, missed, 15.6 min
vs FLA, 2026-10-21: 0, missed, 17.1 min
vs SJ, 2026-10-22: 0, missed, 19.1 min
vs NYR, 2026-10-24: 0, missed, 18.2 min
at VGK, 2026-10-27: 0, missed, 15.9 min
at LA, 2026-10-29: 0, missed, 19.4 min
at SJ, 2026-10-31: 1, cleared, 18.7 min
at ANA, 2026-11-01: 0, missed, 17.5 min

ClearedMissedThe 0.5 linehis 2026–27 time on ice

Splits

Over 0.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against BUF in his last 10; Over 0.5 cleared in 3 of 8 against BUF on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 0.5 · L10

Tim StutzleC
Drake BathersonRW
Jake SandersonD
William EklundLWInjured Reserve
Warren FoegeleLWInjured Reserve

The three skaters with the most points a game among those playing 12+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Senators count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs BUF

Goals: 1 in 17.1 min, Apr 2 (home)

Over 0.5 hit in 3 of 8 games against BUF on record

L10 · Over 0.5

Average: 0.2; −0.3 vs line
Median: 0; −0.5 vs line
Hit rate: 20%; 2 of 10
Price implies: 19%; at +440
Books’ fair: —; needs both sides
Time on ice: 17.3; 10 games · 16.8 in 2025–26

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Line	Over	Under	L10
	+4405 books	pick'em only	2/10
	+40004 books	—	0/10

Compare 5 sportsbooks and 1 pick'em app at 0.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 0.5 Goals, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 0.5	Under 0.5
DraftKings4 min ago	+500Best	—
Bally Bet4 min ago	+440	—
betPARX4 min ago	+440	—
BetRivers4 min ago	+440	—
Bovada4 min ago	+435	—
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 2:38 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

0.5

Over +430 → +440 since first seen

Ridly Greig's full game log and splits