Rickard Rakell

Pittsburgh Penguins · RW · #67

VGK @ PIT · Today 7:00 PM

Over Under2.5

Over 2.5 Shots on Goal, typical price −1206 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

What's different tonight

Over 2.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

TonightTeammate out
Bryan Rust: Injured Reserve (lower body)
Over 2.5 without him: 5 of 14; with him: 33 of 64 (78 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Evgeni Malkin: Out (lower body)
Over 2.5 without him: 15 of 23; with him: 24 of 57 (80 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Trevor van Riemsdyk: Injured Reserve (lower body)
Over 2.5 without him: 5 of 9; with him: 1 of 5 (14 games as teammates)
Opposing goalie
Adin Hill (Expected)
Saves: 233 of 262 (.889) over his last 10 games · 5 of VGK's last 10 starts

29%2 of 7L20 · Without Rust

Over 2.5 Shots on Goal cleared in 2 of 7 games without Bryan Rust (his last 20 games).

vs PHI, 2026-04-18: 2, missed, 17.9 min (not counted)
vs PHI, 2026-04-20: 1, missed, 19.5 min (not counted)
at PHI, 2026-04-22: 3, cleared, 24.6 min (not counted)
at PHI, 2026-04-25: 1, missed, 17.4 min (not counted)
vs PHI, 2026-04-27: 5, cleared, 21 min (not counted)
at PHI, 2026-04-29: 4, cleared, 22.2 min (not counted)
at PHI, 2026-09-30: 2, missed, 18.5 min
vs MTL, 2026-10-03: 2, missed, 18.4 min
vs WPG, 2026-10-05: 1, missed, 20.6 min
at WSH, 2026-10-07: 3, cleared, 19.4 min (not counted)
at CBJ, 2026-10-09: 0, missed, 20.5 min (not counted)
vs DAL, 2026-10-10: 1, missed, 21.7 min (not counted)
at CHI, 2026-10-13: 4, cleared, 19.8 min (not counted)
at COL, 2026-10-16: 5, cleared, 18.9 min (not counted)
at VGK, 2026-10-17: 2, missed, 19.6 min (not counted)
at UTAH, 2026-10-19: 3, cleared, 19 min (not counted)
vs FLA, 2026-10-22: 2, missed, 19.1 min
vs NSH, 2026-10-24: 4, cleared, 19.8 min
vs UTAH, 2026-10-29: 3, cleared, 18.5 min
at MTL, 2026-10-31: 2, missed, 22 min

ClearedMissedThe 2.5 linehis 2026–27 time on ice

Splits

Over 2.5 · L20 · counts, not in order

Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 2.5 · L20

Erik KarlssonD
Sidney CrosbyC
Bryan RustRWInjured Reserve
Evgeni MalkinCOut
Trevor van RiemsdykDInjured Reserve

The three skaters with the most points a game among those playing 12+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out tonight. Only games they were teammates on the Penguins count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs VGK

Shots on Goal: 2 in 19.6 min, Oct 17 (away)

Over 2.5 hit in 2 of 5 games against VGK on record

L20 · Without Rust · Over 2.5

Average: 2.3; −0.2 vs line
Median: 2; −0.5 vs line
Hit rate: 29%; 2 of 7
Price implies: 55%; at −120
Books’ fair: 50%; margin removed
Time on ice: 19.6; 7 games · 19.1 in 2025–26

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 2.5 50%.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L20 · Without Rust

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L20
−18552 books	—	7/7
−3302 books	—	6/7
−1206 books	−1155 books	2/7
+2212 books	—	1/7
+4872 books	—	0/7
+9501 book	—	0/7

Compare 6 sportsbooks and 3 pick'em apps at 2.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 2.5 Shots on Goal, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 2.5	Under 2.5
FanDuel6 min ago	−104Best	−125
Pinnacle6 min ago	−110	−120
DraftKings6 min ago	−120	−115Best
Bally Bet6 min ago	−121	−115Best
betPARX6 min ago	−121	−115Best
BetRivers5 min ago	−121	—
PrizePickspick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 3:39 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

2.5

Over −110 → −120 since first seen

Rickard Rakell's full game log and splits