Phillip Danault

Montreal Canadiens · C · #24

WPG @ MTL · Today 7:00 PM

Over Under0.5

Under 0.5 Points, typical price −2205 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

What's different tonight

Under 0.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

TonightTeammate out
Nick Suzuki: Out (upper body)
Under 0.5 without him: 2 of 5; with him: 53 of 73 (78 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Ivan Demidov: Injured Reserve (lower body)
Under 0.5 without him: 7 of 12; with him: 48 of 66 (78 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Mike Matheson: Out (lower body)
Under 0.5 without him: 4 of 7; with him: 51 of 71 (78 games as teammates)
Opposing goalie
Stuart Skinner (Expected)
Saves: 242 of 273 (.886) over his last 10 games · 6 of WPG's last 10 starts

40%2 of 5L20 · Without Suzuki

Under 0.5 Points hit in 2 of 5 games without Nick Suzuki (his last 20 games).

at BUF, 2026-05-18: 1, missed, 17.3 min (not counted)
at CAR, 2026-05-21: 2, missed, 15.8 min (not counted)
at CAR, 2026-05-23: 2, missed, 14.6 min (not counted)
vs CAR, 2026-05-25: 0, hit, 20 min (not counted)
vs CAR, 2026-05-27: 0, hit, 14.3 min (not counted)
at CAR, 2026-05-29: 0, hit, 15.8 min (not counted)
at TOR, 2026-09-29: 0, hit, 15.6 min (not counted)
at PIT, 2026-10-03: 0, hit, 11.4 min (not counted)
vs CAR, 2026-10-06: 1, missed, 13.8 min (not counted)
vs NSH, 2026-10-08: 0, hit, 18.6 min (not counted)
vs DET, 2026-10-10: 0, hit, 17.4 min (not counted)
vs BUF, 2026-10-13: 0, hit, 17.4 min (not counted)
at WSH, 2026-10-14: 0, hit, 17.7 min (not counted)
vs BUF, 2026-10-17: 0, hit, 15.1 min (not counted)
vs SJ, 2026-10-20: 1, missed, 15.7 min (not counted)
at CHI, 2026-10-23: 1, missed, 18.3 min
at WPG, 2026-10-25: 0, hit, 19 min
at STL, 2026-10-27: 0, hit, 19.4 min
at DAL, 2026-10-29: 2, missed, 19.4 min
vs PIT, 2026-10-31: 1, missed, 20 min

Under hitMissedThe 0.5 linehis 2026–27 time on ice

Our model's range for tonight: a typical night lands 0–2 points.

Splits

Under 0.5 · L20 · counts, not in order

Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Under 0.5 · L20

Nick SuzukiCOut
Lane HutsonD
Cole CaufieldRW
Ivan DemidovRWInjured Reserve
Mike MathesonDOut

The three skaters with the most points a game among those playing 12+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out tonight. Only games they were teammates on the Canadiens count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs WPG

Points: 0 in 19 min, Oct 25 (away)

Under 0.5 hit in 5 of 7 games against WPG on record

L20 · Without Suzuki · Under 0.5

Average: 0.8; +0.3 vs line
Median: 1; +0.5 vs line
Hit rate: 40%; 2 of 5
Price implies: 69%; at −220
Books’ fair: 65%; margin removed
Our chance: 61%; estimate · fair −158

Research, not a pick. At −220 the price is worse than our fair −158, so it isn't worth it.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge: props on our numbers have lost money since Oct 7.

Lines posted now

Under hits, L20 · Without Suzuki

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Line	Over	Under	L20
	+1905 books	−2201 book	2/5
	+10001 book	—	4/5

Compare 5 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 0.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 0.5 Points, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 0.5	Under 0.5
DraftKings8 min ago	+165	−220Best
Bally Bet5 min ago	+190Best	—
betPARX4 min ago	+190Best	—
BetRivers4 min ago	+190Best	—
Bovada5 min ago	+190Best	—
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 4:49 PM ET. The page leads with the Under's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

0.5

Under isn't priced at 0.5 right now.

Phillip Danault's full game log and splits