Phillip Danault

Montreal Canadiens · C · #24

UTAH @ MTL · Today 7:00 PM

Over Under0.5

Under 0.5 Assists, typical price −4251 sportsbook · consensus lineUpdated

60%6 of 10L10

Under 0.5 Assists hit in 6 of his last 10 games (3 of 5 at home).

vs BUF, 2026-10-13: 0, hit, 17.4 min
at WSH, 2026-10-14: 0, hit, 17.7 min
vs BUF, 2026-10-17: 0, hit, 15.1 min
vs SJ, 2026-10-20: 1, missed, 15.7 min
at CHI, 2026-10-23: 1, missed, 18.3 min
at WPG, 2026-10-25: 0, hit, 19 min
at STL, 2026-10-27: 0, hit, 19.4 min
at DAL, 2026-10-29: 1, missed, 19.4 min
vs PIT, 2026-10-31: 1, missed, 20 min
vs WPG, 2026-11-03: 0, hit, 18.5 min

Under hitMissedThe 0.5 linehis 2026–27 time on ice

Our model's range for today's game: a typical game lands 0–1 assists.

What's different today

Under 0.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

Teammate out
Ivan Demidov: Injured Reserve (ankle)
Under 0.5 without him: 8 of 13; with him: 55 of 66 (79 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Mike Matheson: Out (lower body)
Under 0.5 without him: 5 of 8; with him: 58 of 71 (79 games as teammates)
Opposing goalie
Karel Vejmelka (Expected)
Saves: 209 of 242 (.864) over his last 10 games · 7 of UTAH's last 10 starts
Defense vs forwards
UTAH allow 3.44 assists a game to forwards: 21st most of 32
16 games · last 10 games: 3.80, 13th most

Splits

Under 0.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against UTAH in his last 10; Under 0.5 hit in 2 of 4 against UTAH on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Under 0.5 · L10

Nick SuzukiC
Cole CaufieldRW
Lane HutsonD
Ivan DemidovRWInjured Reserve
Mike MathesonDOut

The three skaters with the most points a game among those playing 12+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Canadiens count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs UTAH

Danault didn't play the Nov 26, 2025 meeting; assists the last time Danault faced them: 0 (Dec 8, 2025)

Under 0.5 hit in 2 of 4 games against UTAH on record

L10 · Under 0.5

Average: 0.4; −0.1 vs line
Median: 0; −0.5 vs line
Hit rate: 60%; 6 of 10
Price implies: 81%; at −425
Books’ fair: 76%; margin removed
Our chance: 71%; estimate · fair −247

Research, not a pick. At −425 the price is worse than our fair −247, so it isn't worth it.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Under hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Line	Over	Under	L10
	+3001 book	−4251 book	6/10

Compare 1 sportsbook and 1 pick'em app at 0.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 0.5 Assists, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 0.5	Under 0.5
DraftKings1 min ago	+300Best	−425Best
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 11:55 AM ET. The page leads with the Under's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

0.5

Under: −475 → −425 since first seen

Phillip Danault's full game log and splits