Philip Broberg

St. Louis Blues · D · #6

STL @ NJ · Live

Over Under0.5

Under 0.5 Assists, typical price −2183 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

70%7 of 10L10

Under 0.5 Assists hit in 7 of his last 10 games (4 of 5 on the road).

at OTT, 2026-10-13: 0, hit, 22.1 min
at MIN, 2026-10-15: 0, hit, 22.4 min
at NSH, 2026-10-17: 0, hit, 25.2 min
vs WPG, 2026-10-20: 1, missed, 23.7 min
vs VGK, 2026-10-22: 0, hit, 22.9 min
vs CAR, 2026-10-24: 0, hit, 24.6 min
vs MTL, 2026-10-27: 0, hit, 26.2 min
vs BOS, 2026-10-29: 2, missed, 25.9 min
at DET, 2026-10-31: 1, missed, 27.2 min
at NYR, 2026-11-03: 0, hit, 27.6 min

Under hitMissedThe 0.5 linehis 2026–27 time on ice

Our model's range for yesterday's game: a typical game lands 0–1 assists.

What's different yesterday

Under 0.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

YesterdayOpposing goalie
Connor Hellebuyck (Confirmed)
Saves: 195 of 223 (.874) over his last 10 games · 3 of NJ's last 10 starts · Jake Allen started 5
YesterdayDefense vs defensemen
NJ allow 2.13 assists a game to defensemen: 3rd most of 32
15 games · last 10 games: 2.20, 4th most
Teammate out
Logan Mailloux: Injured Reserve (hand)
Under 0.5 without him: 22 of 30; with him: 43 of 66 (96 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Tyler Tucker: Injured Reserve (knee)
Under 0.5 without him: 16 of 28; with him: 49 of 68 (96 games as teammates)

Splits

Under 0.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against NJ in his last 10; Under 0.5 hit in 3 of 3 against NJ on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Under 0.5 · L10

Dylan HollowayLW
Jimmy SnuggerudRW
Robert ThomasC
Logan MaillouxDInjured Reserve
Tyler TuckerDInjured Reserve

The three skaters with the most points a game among those playing 12+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out yesterday. Only games they were teammates on the Blues count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs NJ

Assists: 0 in 21.7 min, Feb 28 (home)

Under 0.5 hit in 3 of 3 games against NJ on record

L10 · Under 0.5

Average: 0.4; −0.1 vs line
Median: 0; −0.5 vs line
Hit rate: 70%; 7 of 10
Price implies: 69%; at −218
Books’ fair: 64%; margin removed
Our chance: 63%; estimate · fair −172

Research, not a pick. At −215 (the best of 2 sportsbooks) the price is worse than our fair −172, so it isn't worth it.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Under hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Line	Over	Under	L10
	+1603 books	−2182 books	7/10
	+10001 book	—	9/10

Compare 3 sportsbooks and 1 pick'em app at 0.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 0.5 Assists, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 0.5	Under 0.5
DraftKings11 hr ago	+160	−215Best
Pinnacle11 hr ago	+160	−218
Bally Bet11 hr ago	+180Best	—
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 7:09 PM ET. The page leads with the Under's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

0.5

Under: −215 → −218 since first seen

Philip Broberg's full game log and splits

This page last updated 7:10 PM ET.