Philip Broberg

St. Louis Blues · D · #6

STL @ NYR · Today 7:00 PM

Over Under0.5

Under 0.5 Assists, typical price −2085 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

What's different tonight

Under 0.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

Teammate out
Logan Mailloux: Injured Reserve (hand)
Under 0.5 without him: 21 of 29; with him: 43 of 66 (95 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Tyler Tucker: Injured Reserve (knee)
Under 0.5 without him: 15 of 27; with him: 49 of 68 (95 games as teammates)
Opposing goalie
Dylan Garand (Confirmed)
Saves: 204 of 230 (.887) over his last 10 games · 9 of NYR's last 10 starts
Defense vs defensemen
NYR allow 1.60 assists a game to defensemen: 16th most of 32
15 games · last 10 games: 2.20, 5th most

60%6 of 10L10

Under 0.5 Assists hit in 6 of his last 10 games (3 of 4 on the road).

vs CBJ, 2026-10-10: 1, missed, 23.3 min
at OTT, 2026-10-13: 0, hit, 22.1 min
at MIN, 2026-10-15: 0, hit, 22.4 min
at NSH, 2026-10-17: 0, hit, 25.2 min
vs WPG, 2026-10-20: 1, missed, 23.7 min
vs VGK, 2026-10-22: 0, hit, 22.9 min
vs CAR, 2026-10-24: 0, hit, 24.6 min
vs MTL, 2026-10-27: 0, hit, 26.2 min
vs BOS, 2026-10-29: 2, missed, 25.9 min
at DET, 2026-10-31: 1, missed, 27.2 min

Under hitMissedThe 0.5 lineTime on ice

Our model's range for tonight: a typical night lands 0–1 assists.

Count only

Under 0.5 · L10

With or without

Under 0.5 · L10

Dylan HollowayLW
Jimmy SnuggerudRW
Robert ThomasC
Logan MaillouxDInjured Reserve
Tyler TuckerDInjured Reserve

The three skaters with the most points a game among those playing 12+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out tonight. Only games they were teammates on the Blues count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs NYR

Assists: 0 in 19.9 min, Dec 18, 2025 (home)

Under 0.5 hit in 2 of 3 games against NYR on record

L10 · Under 0.5

Average: 0.5; ±0 vs line
Median: 0; −0.5 vs line
Hit rate: 60%; 6 of 10
Price implies: 68%; at −208
Books’ fair: 63%; margin removed
Our chance: 61%; estimate · fair −159

Research, not a pick. At −207 (the best of 2 sportsbooks) the price is worse than our fair −159, so it isn't worth it.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge: props on our numbers have lost money since Oct 7.

Lines posted now

Under hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Line	Over	Under	L10
	+1505 books	−2082 books	6/10
	+9501 book	—	9/10

Compare 5 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 0.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 0.5 Assists, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 0.5	Under 0.5
Pinnacle4 min ago	+153	−207Best
DraftKings9 min ago	+155Best	−210
Bally Bet4 min ago	+150	—
betPARX4 min ago	+150	—
BetRivers5 min ago	+150	—
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 12:33 PM ET. The page leads with the Under's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

0.5

Under isn't priced at 0.5 right now.

Philip Broberg's full game log and splits