Peyton Krebs

Buffalo Sabres · C · #19

CBJ @ BUF · Today 7:00 PM

Over Under0.5

Under 0.5 Points, typical price −2056 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

70%7 of 10L10

Under 0.5 Points hit in 7 of his last 10 games (1 of 3 at home).

vs FLA, 2026-10-12: 2, missed, 15.1 min
at MTL, 2026-10-13: 0, hit, 13.2 min
at TOR, 2026-10-15: 0, hit, 16.4 min
at MTL, 2026-10-17: 0, hit, 9.1 min
vs PHI, 2026-10-21: 0, hit, 8.8 min
at WSH, 2026-10-24: 0, hit, 14.4 min
at SJ, 2026-10-27: 0, hit, 10.1 min
at ANA, 2026-10-29: 3, missed, 15.9 min
at LA, 2026-10-31: 0, hit, 15.7 min
vs OTT, 2026-11-04: 1, missed, 13.5 min

Under hitMissedThe 0.5 linehis 2026–27 time on ice

Our model's range for today's game: a typical game lands 0–2 points.

What's different today

Under 0.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

TodayOpposing goalie
Cam Talbot (Expected); he started the day before too
Saves: 206 of 232 (.888) over his last 10 games · 6 of CBJ's last 10 starts
Teammate out
Konsta Helenius: Out (upper body)
Under 0.5 without him: 18 of 39; with him: 17 of 24 (63 games as teammates)
Defense vs forwards
CBJ allow 6.21 points a game to forwards: 19th most of 32
14 games · last 10 games: 6.00, 20th most
Time on ice
Last 5: 13.9 min · 2026–27: 13.7 (15 games)
Power play: 0 min last 5 · 0.1 2026–27

Splits

Under 0.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against CBJ in his last 10; Under 0.5 hit in 6 of 7 against CBJ on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Under 0.5 · L10

Tage ThompsonC
Rasmus DahlinD
Zach BensonLW
Konsta HeleniusCOut

The three skaters with the most points a game among those playing 12+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Sabres count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs CBJ

Points: 0 in 15 min, Oct 1 (away)

Under 0.5 hit in 6 of 7 games against CBJ on record

L10 · Under 0.5

Average: 0.6; +0.1 vs line
Median: 0; −0.5 vs line
Hit rate: 70%; 7 of 10
Price implies: 67%; at −205
Books’ fair: 63%; margin removed
Our chance: 61%; estimate · fair −157

Research, not a pick. At −205 the price is worse than our fair −157, so it isn't worth it.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Under hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
+1326 books	−2051 book	7/10
+6005 books	—	8/10
+30001 book	—	9/10

Compare 6 sportsbooks and 1 pick'em app at 0.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 0.5 Points, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 0.5	Under 0.5
DraftKings9 min ago	+150Best	−205Best
Bally Bet9 min ago	+132	—
betPARX5 min ago	+132	—
BetRivers5 min ago	+132	—
Bovada9 min ago	+130	—
FanDuel3 min ago	+138	—
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 8:49 AM ET. The page leads with the Under's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

0.5

Under isn't priced at 0.5 right now.

Peyton Krebs's full game log and splits