Pavel Buchnevich

St. Louis Blues · LW · #89

STL @ NYR · Today 7:00 PM

Over Under1.5

Over 1.5 Shots on Goal, typical price −1202 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

What's different tonight

Over 1.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

Teammate out
Logan Mailloux: Injured Reserve (hand)
Over 1.5 without him: 12 of 28; with him: 39 of 66 (94 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Tyler Tucker: Injured Reserve (knee)
Over 1.5 without him: 11 of 26; with him: 40 of 68 (94 games as teammates)
Opposing goalie
Dylan Garand started NYR's last game
Saves: 204 of 230 (.887) over his last 10 games · 9 of NYR's last 10 starts · no probable starter posted yet
Defense vs forwards
NYR allow 18.5 shots on goal a game to forwards: 23rd most of 32
15 games · last 10 games: 19.3, 19th most

40%4 of 10L10

Over 1.5 Shots on Goal cleared in 4 of his last 10 games (0 of 3 on the road).

vs SJ, 2026-10-08: 1, missed, 19.6 min
vs CBJ, 2026-10-10: 2, cleared, 17 min
at OTT, 2026-10-13: 1, missed, 18.4 min
at NSH, 2026-10-17: 1, missed, 18.5 min
vs WPG, 2026-10-20: 4, cleared, 19.6 min
vs VGK, 2026-10-22: 3, cleared, 17.2 min
vs CAR, 2026-10-24: 0, missed, 15.4 min
vs MTL, 2026-10-27: 3, cleared, 22 min
vs BOS, 2026-10-29: 0, missed, 15.9 min
at DET, 2026-10-31: 1, missed, 14.4 min

ClearedMissedThe 1.5 linehis 2026–27 time on ice

Splits

Over 1.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against NYR in his last 10; Over 1.5 cleared in 4 of 5 against NYR on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 1.5 · L10

Dylan HollowayLW
Jimmy SnuggerudRW
Robert ThomasC
Logan MaillouxDInjured Reserve
Tyler TuckerDInjured Reserve

The three skaters with the most points a game among those playing 12+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out tonight. Only games they were teammates on the Blues count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs NYR

Shots on Goal: 3 in 20.7 min, Dec 18, 2025 (home)

Over 1.5 hit in 4 of 5 games against NYR on record

L10 · Over 1.5

Average: 1.6; +0.1 vs line
Median: 1; −0.5 vs line
Hit rate: 40%; 4 of 10
Price implies: 55%; at −120
Books’ fair: 51%; margin removed
Time on ice: 17.8; 10 games · 17.9 in 2025–26

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 1.5 51%.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−5251 book	—	8/10
−1202 books	−1142 books	4/10
+2551 book	—	3/10
+6501 book	—	1/10
+17001 book	—	0/10

Compare 2 sportsbooks and 1 pick'em app at 1.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 1.5 Shots on Goal, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 1.5	Under 1.5
DraftKings4 hr ago	−120Best	−115
Bally Bet4 hr ago	−121	−114Best
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 7:12 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

1.5

Over −114 → −120 since first seen

Pavel Buchnevich's full game log and splits

This page last updated 7:12 PM ET.