Owen Tippett
PHI @ NYR · Today 7:00 PM
Game log against Under 2.5
60%6 of 10L10
Under 2.5 Shots on Goal hit in 6 of his last 10 games (3 of 5 on the road).
Our model's range for today's game: a typical game lands 0–4 shots on goal.
What's different today
Under 2.5 · facts from past games, not a pick2 of his last 4 came before Tippett missed 6 games. Since he came back: Under 2.5 in 2 of 2.
TodayBack from an absence
Today's game is his 3rd back after missing 6 games in a row (Oct 17 – Oct 28)
Under 2.5 since: 2 of 2
Teammate out
Rasmus Ristolainen: Injured Reserve (hand)
Under 2.5 without him: 7 of 14; with him: 28 of 53 (67 games as teammates)
Opposing goalie
Dylan Garand (Confirmed)
Saves: 225 of 251 (.896) over his last 10 games · 9 of NYR's last 10 starts
Defense vs forwards
NYR allow 18.7 shots on goal a game to forwards: 24th most of 32
16 games · last 10 games: 19.4, 18th most
Splits
Under 2.5 · L10 · counts, not in orderNo game against NYR in his last 10; Under 2.5 hit in 4 of 10 against NYR on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.
With or without
Under 2.5 · L10Trevor ZegrasC
Matvei MichkovRW
Oliver BonkD
Rasmus RistolainenDInjured Reserve
The three skaters with the most points a game among those playing 12+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Flyers count; “without” is a game he didn't play.
Last vs NYR
Shots on Goal: 3 in 16.9 min, Mar 9 (home)
Under 2.5 hit in 4 of 10 games against NYR on record
L10 · Under 2.5
- Average
- 2
- −0.5 vs line
- Median
- 2
- −0.5 vs line
- Hit rate
- 60%
- 6 of 10
- Price implies
- 61%
- at −159
- Books’ fair
- 57%
- margin removed
- Our chance
- 60%
- estimate · fair −148
Research, not a pick. At −159 (the best of 2 sportsbooks) the price is worse than our fair −148, so it isn't worth it.
Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.
Lines posted now
Under hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −13002 books | — | 1/10 | |
| −1923 books | +1302 books | 4/10 | |
| pick'em only | pick'em only | 4/10 | |
| +1125 books | −1592 books | 6/10 | |
| +3302 books | — | 9/10 | |
| +9001 book | — | 10/10 | |
| +20001 book | — | 10/10 |
Compare 5 sportsbooks and 1 pick'em app at 2.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
|---|---|---|
| Bally Bet5 min ago | +112 | −159Best |
| betPARX4 min ago | +112 | −159Best |
| BetRivers4 min ago | +112 | — |
| DraftKings5 min ago | +155Best | — |
| FanDuel4 min ago | +136 | — |
| Sleeperpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 7:02 PM ET. The page leads with the Under's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
2.5Under isn't priced at 2.5 right now.