Oliver Bonk

Philadelphia Flyers · D · #59

MIN @ PHI · Today 7:00 PM

Over Under0.5

Under 0.5 Points, typical price −2705 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

What's different tonight

Under 0.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

Teammate out
Rasmus Ristolainen: Injured Reserve (hand)
Under 0.5 without him: 4 of 10; with him: 2 of 2 (12 games as teammates)
Opposing goalie
Jesper Wallstedt (Confirmed)
Saves: 229 of 250 (.916) over his last 10 games · 8 of MIN's last 10 starts
Defense vs defensemen
MIN allow 1.69 points a game to defensemen: 28th most of 32
16 games · last 10 games: 1.80, 23rd most
Time on ice
Last 5: 18 min · 2026–27: 19 (10 games)
Power play: 1.7 min last 5 · 1.3 2026–27

50%5 of 10L10

Under 0.5 Points hit in 5 of his last 10 games (3 of 7 at home).

vs CAR, 2026-10-11: 0, hit, 16.5 min
vs SEA, 2026-10-13: 1, missed, 20 min
at DET, 2026-10-15: 0, hit, 20 min
vs OTT, 2026-10-17: 0, hit, 19.2 min
vs COL, 2026-10-19: 1, missed, 24.4 min
at BUF, 2026-10-21: 2, missed, 19.6 min
vs ANA, 2026-10-24: 0, hit, 17.6 min
vs CBJ, 2026-10-27: 1, missed, 16.8 min
at WSH, 2026-10-28: 0, hit, 18.4 min
vs UTAH, 2026-11-01: 1, missed, 17.8 min

Under hitMissedThe 0.5 linehis 2026–27 time on ice

Our model's range for tonight: a typical night lands 0–2 points.

Splits

Under 0.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against MIN on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Under 0.5 · L10

Trevor ZegrasC
Matvei MichkovRW
Travis KonecnyRW
Rasmus RistolainenDInjured Reserve

The three skaters with the most points a game among those playing 12+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out tonight. Only games they were teammates on the Flyers count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs MIN

Bonk didn't play the Mar 12 meeting

L10 · Under 0.5

Average: 0.6; +0.1 vs line
Median: 0.5; ±0 vs line
Hit rate: 50%; 5 of 10
Price implies: 73%; at −270
Books’ fair: 68%; margin removed
Our chance: 59%; estimate · fair −147

Research, not a pick. At −270 the price is worse than our fair −147, so it isn't worth it.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge: props on our numbers have lost money since Oct 7.

Lines posted now

Under hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Line	Over	Under	L10
	+2155 books	−2701 book	5/10
	+12001 book	—	9/10

Compare 5 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 0.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 0.5 Points, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 0.5	Under 0.5
DraftKings10 min ago	+195	−270Best
Bally Bet6 min ago	+215Best	—
betPARX1 min ago	+215Best	—
BetRivers1 min ago	+215Best	—
Bovada6 min ago	+215Best	—
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 5:17 PM ET. The page leads with the Under's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

0.5

Under −225 → −270 since first seen

Oliver Bonk's full game log and splits