Oliver Bjorkstrand

New York Rangers · RW · #28

PHI @ NYR · Today 7:00 PM

Over Under1.5

Under 1.5 Shots on Goal, typical price −1753 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

60%6 of 10L10

Under 1.5 Shots on Goal hit in 6 of his last 10 games (4 of 6 at home).

vs VAN, 2026-10-11: 1, hit, 10.3 min
vs TB, 2026-10-13: 0, hit, 7.6 min
at NJ, 2026-10-15: 3, missed, 12.1 min
at CBJ, 2026-10-17: 1, hit, 8.7 min
vs ANA, 2026-10-19: 3, missed, 12.1 min
at TOR, 2026-10-22: 2, missed, 10.4 min
at OTT, 2026-10-24: 0, hit, 11.2 min
vs LA, 2026-10-26: 1, hit, 16.2 min
vs EDM, 2026-11-01: 1, hit, 13.7 min
vs STL, 2026-11-03: 3, missed, 11 min

Under hitMissedThe 1.5 linehis 2026–27 time on ice

Our model's range for today's game: a typical game lands 0–3 shots on goal.

What's different today

Under 1.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

TodayOpposing goalie
Joseph Woll (Confirmed)
Saves: 255 of 287 (.889) over his last 10 games · 4 of PHI's last 10 starts · Dan Vladar started 6
Teammate out
Sean Durzi: Injured Reserve (undisclosed)
Under 1.5 without him: 1 of 2; with him: 9 of 14 (16 games as teammates). A small sample.
Defense vs forwards
PHI allow 21.6 shots on goal a game to forwards: 5th most of 32
17 games · last 10 games: 19.0, 21st most
Time on ice
Last 5: 12.5 min · 2026–27: 11.2 (16 games)
Power play: 1 min last 5 · 1.1 2026–27

Splits

Under 1.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against PHI in his last 10; Under 1.5 hit in 4 of 6 against PHI on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Under 1.5 · L10

Adam FoxD
Alexis LafreniereLW
Mika ZibanejadC
Sean DurziDInjured Reserve

The three skaters with the most points a game among those playing 12+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Rangers count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs PHI

Bjorkstrand didn't play the Mar 9 meeting; shots on goal the last time Bjorkstrand faced them: 1 (Jan 12)

Under 1.5 hit in 4 of 6 games against PHI on record

L10 · Under 1.5

Average: 1.5; ±0 vs line
Median: 1; −0.5 vs line
Hit rate: 60%; 6 of 10
Price implies: 64%; at −175
Books’ fair: 59%; margin removed
Our chance: 56%; estimate · fair −129

Research, not a pick. At −175 (the best of 2 sportsbooks) the price is worse than our fair −129, so it isn't worth it.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Under hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Line	Over	Under	L10
	+1233 books	−1752 books	6/10

Compare 3 sportsbooks at 1.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 1.5 Shots on Goal, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 1.5	Under 1.5
Bally Bet2 min ago	+123Best	−175Best
betPARX2 min ago	+123Best	−175Best
BetRivers1 min ago	+123Best	—

Prices as of 6:09 PM ET. The page leads with the Under's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

1.5

Under: −148 → −175 since first seen

Oliver Bjorkstrand's full game log and splits