Noah Cates

Philadelphia Flyers · LW · #27

MIN @ PHI · Today 7:00 PM

Over Under0.5

Over 0.5 Assists, typical price +2501 sportsbook · consensus lineUpdated

What's different tonight

Over 0.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

TonightDefense vs forwards
MIN allow 2.63 assists a game to forwards: 31st most of 32
16 games · last 10 games: 2.70, 28th most
Teammate out
Rasmus Ristolainen: Injured Reserve (hand)
Over 0.5 without him: 4 of 19; with him: 19 of 56 (75 games as teammates)
Opposing goalie
Jesper Wallstedt started MIN's last game
Saves: 229 of 250 (.916) over his last 10 games · 8 of MIN's last 10 starts · no probable starter posted yet
Time on ice
Last 5: 13.4 min · 2026–27: 13.1 (16 games)
Power play: 0.2 min last 5 · 0.2 2026–27

30%3 of 10L10

Over 0.5 Assists cleared in 3 of his last 10 games (3 of 7 at home).

vs CAR, 2026-10-11: 0, missed, 13.5 min
vs SEA, 2026-10-13: 0, missed, 14.6 min
at DET, 2026-10-15: 0, missed, 13.4 min
vs OTT, 2026-10-17: 0, missed, 14 min
vs COL, 2026-10-19: 1, cleared, 13.8 min
at BUF, 2026-10-21: 0, missed, 13.9 min
vs ANA, 2026-10-24: 1, cleared, 12.6 min
vs CBJ, 2026-10-27: 0, missed, 14.7 min
at WSH, 2026-10-28: 0, missed, 13 min
vs UTAH, 2026-11-01: 1, cleared, 13 min

ClearedMissedThe 0.5 linehis 2026–27 time on ice

Splits

Over 0.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against MIN in his last 10; Over 0.5 cleared in 1 of 4 against MIN on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 0.5 · L10

Trevor ZegrasC
Oliver BonkD
Matvei MichkovRW
Rasmus RistolainenDInjured Reserve

The three skaters with the most points a game among those playing 12+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out tonight. Only games they were teammates on the Flyers count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs MIN

Assists: 0 in 15.2 min, Mar 12 (away)

Over 0.5 hit in 1 of 4 games against MIN on record

L10 · Over 0.5

Average: 0.3; −0.2 vs line
Median: 0; −0.5 vs line
Hit rate: 30%; 3 of 10
Price implies: 29%; at +250
Books’ fair: 27%; margin removed
Time on ice: 13.7; 10 games · 16.3 in 2025–26

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 0.5 27%.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Line	Over	Under	L10
	+2501 book	−3501 book	3/10

Compare 1 sportsbook at 0.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 0.5 Assists, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 0.5	Under 0.5
DraftKings2 hr ago	+250Best	−350Best

Prices as of 7:12 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

0.5

Over +260 → +250 since first seen

Noah Cates's full game log and splits

This page last updated 7:12 PM ET.